Startup Ideation

Scope

• Turning vague “startup ideas” into structured opportunity theses
• Expanding your information diet to find off-the-beaten-path opportunities
• Running a Why Now analysis based on technology + behavior + distribution shifts
• Identifying tarpits (ideas that look good but are structurally hard) and pruning early
• Scoring ideas and producing a top-idea 1‑pager + 2‑week validation plan

• “Help me come up with startup ideas in/around <domain>.”
• “We have 5 ideas — help us pick one and explain why.”
• “What’s a good Why Now for this idea?”
• “Pressure to do AI — where are real new opportunities?”
• “How do we avoid idea tarpits and pick something differentiated?”

• You already chose an idea and need a delivery-ready PRD (use

  writing-prds

  )
• You need to define the problem space for a specific user pain (use

  problem-definition

  )
• You need to execute research (recruit, interview, synthesize) rather than frame it (use

  conducting-user-interviews

  )
• You need market sizing / pricing / fundraising pitch materials (adjacent work, not covered here)

Inputs

• Founder/team context + constraints (time, budget, skills, regulatory constraints)
• The decision to make + timeline (e.g., “pick 1 idea to validate in the next 2 weeks”)
• Target customer type (B2B/B2C; any preferred industries or segments)
• Any starting ideas (even rough) + what prompted them

• Ask up to 5 questions from references/INTAKE.md.
• If still missing, proceed with explicit assumptions and list Open questions that could change the recommendation.

Outputs (deliverables)

1. Context snapshot (goal, constraints, decision, timeline)
2. Unfair advantage + off-the-beaten-path signals (what you know/see that others might not)
3. Shift scan + Why Now candidates (tech/behavior/distribution/regulatory shifts)
4. Opportunity theses table (15–30 ideas, each structured + testable)
5. Tarpit & differentiation check (prune to a shortlist)
6. Idea scorecard (score top 3–5 with evidence)
7. Top idea brief (1‑pager) (clear wedge + Why Now + ICP + risks)
8. 2‑week validation plan (fastest tests for the highest-risk assumptions)
9. Risks / Open questions / Next steps (always included)

Workflow (8 steps)

1) Intake + decision framing

• Inputs: User context; references/INTAKE.md.
• Actions: Clarify decision, time horizon, and constraints. Define success as “pick 1 idea to validate next” (or similar).
• Outputs: Context snapshot.
• Checks: You can restate the decision in one sentence (“We are deciding whether to… by <date>”).

2) Inventory unfair advantage + off-the-beaten-path signals

• Inputs: Founder/team background; past work; lived experience; access.
• Actions: List 5–15 unique signals: personal pain, workflows you’ve seen, niche communities, privileged distribution, proprietary data access, or operator insight.
• Outputs: Unfair advantage + signals list.
• Checks: Each signal is specific (who/where/when) and could plausibly lead to a differentiated idea.

3) Run a shift scan (“Why now?” raw material)

• Inputs: Domain + constraints; current trends the user cares about.
• Actions: Generate 10–20 “shifts” across: technology capability, buyer behavior, regulation, distribution, and cost curves. For each, write: “This enables X that was hard before.”
• Outputs: Shift scan + Why Now candidates.
• Checks: At least 5 shifts are concrete and falsifiable (not vague hype).

4) Generate opportunity theses (structured ideas)

• Inputs: Signals + shifts.
• Actions: Produce 15–30 opportunity theses using the template: Customer → Job → Pain → Why now → Wedge → First test.
• Outputs: Opportunity theses table.
• Checks: Every idea includes a Why Now statement and a proposed first validation test.

5) Tarpit & differentiation check (prune)

• Inputs: Opportunity theses table.
• Actions: Flag tarpits and thinly differentiated ideas. Apply “off-the-beaten-path” pressure: if an idea is widely discussed, require a strong wedge or discard.
• Outputs: Pruned list + notes on tarpits/differentiation.
• Checks: The remaining shortlist has at least one concrete advantage (distribution, insight, data, speed, regulatory, workflow depth).

6) Score + shortlist top 3–5

• Inputs: Pruned list; references/RUBRIC.md.
• Actions: Score each shortlisted idea with evidence and assumptions. Highlight the 1–2 criteria that dominate the outcome (sensitivity).
• Outputs: Idea scorecard + top 3–5 recommendation.
• Checks: Scores cite specific evidence or clearly labeled assumptions (no hand-wavy numbers).

7) Draft the top idea 1‑pager + 2‑week validation plan

• Inputs: Top idea; references/TEMPLATES.md.
• Actions: Write a crisp 1‑pager (ICP, problem, Why Now, wedge, GTM motion hypothesis). Then design the fastest validation plan focused on the riskiest assumptions.
• Outputs: Top idea brief + validation plan.
• Checks: The plan includes: who to talk to, what to build (if anything), success criteria, and a stop/pivot rule.

8) Quality gate + finalize pack

• Inputs: Full draft pack.
• Actions: Run references/CHECKLISTS.md and score with references/RUBRIC.md. Add Risks / Open questions / Next steps.
• Outputs: Final Startup Ideation Pack.
• Checks: A stakeholder can review async and decide “validate / park / discard” without a meeting.

Quality gate (required)

• Use references/CHECKLISTS.md and references/RUBRIC.md.
• Always include: Risks, Open questions, Next steps.

Examples