context-create

Original：🇺🇸 English
Translated

Create prediction markets from natural language on Context Markets

3installs
Sourcecontextwtf/context-skills
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NPX Install

npx skill4agent add contextwtf/context-skills context-create

Tags

Translated version includes tags in frontmatter
prediction-marketscontext-marketsai-oraclemarket-creationnatural-language-interface

SKILL.md Content

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Create Skill

Design and submit prediction markets with precise questions, unambiguous resolution criteria, and appropriate evidence sources.

Prerequisites

  • Context MCP server running (
    npx context-markets-mcp
    )
  • CONTEXT_API_KEY — required for all submission methods
  • CONTEXT_PRIVATE_KEY — required for on-chain market creation

Shared Foundations

How Resolution Works

Every market is resolved by an AI oracle that evaluates evidence strictly against your resolution criteria. The oracle cannot use outside knowledge — it can only use eligible evidence (social media posts, web sources) matched against your criteria. Your criteria are the oracle's only instructions.

Evidence Modes

  • social_only
     — oracle resolves based on X/Twitter posts from specified accounts. Use when the event will be announced or discussed on X.
  • web_enabled
     — oracle also searches authoritative web sources (official sites, news outlets). Use when the outcome depends on official data. Web evidence from authoritative sources overrides social media.

Claim Types

TypePatternResolution
Event-by-deadline"Will X happen by Y?"Can resolve YES early. Monotonic.
Threshold"Will X reach N?"Can resolve YES early. Monotonic.
Period-gated"Will X be Y at end of Z?"Must wait until period ends.
Durational"Most/total over period"Must wait until period ends.
None/never"Will X not happen?"YES requires full window without event.

Market Types

  • OBJECTIVE — verifiable real-world event (sports, elections, prices). Most markets.
  • SUBJECTIVE — depends on oracle judgment. Define judgment criteria clearly.

Question Rules

  • Start with "Will..."
  • Include a specific, measurable, binary outcome
  • Include a deadline or timeframe
  • Under 300 characters (aim for 150)
  • Create a 
    shortQuestion
    under 200 characters

Submission Methods

MCP (recommended for agents):
  • context_agent_submit_market
    — full control over question, criteria, sources, end time. Takes 30–90 seconds.
  • context_create_market
    — simple path. You provide a question, oracle generates everything.
SDK:
  • ctx.questions.agentSubmitAndWait({ market: { ... } })
    — full control, polls until complete
  • ctx.questions.submitAndWait("question")
    — simple path
CLI:
  • context questions agent-submit-and-wait --formatted-question "..." --resolution-criteria "..." ...
  • context questions submit-and-wait "Will...?"

Available Workflows

WorkflowWhen to use
news-to-marketTurn a news headline into a well-formed market
diagnose-resolutionTroubleshoot rejected submissions or wrong resolutions

References

  • Agent Submit API — Full endpoint schema, field reference, types
  • Resolution Criteria Guide — Writing criteria the oracle can resolve