prioritization

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Prioritization Frameworks

优先级排序框架

Score, rank, and justify backlog decisions using the right framework for the situation.
根据具体场景选择合适的框架,对待办事项决策进行评分、排序和论证。

Decision Tree: Which Framework to Use

决策树:如何选择框架

Do you have a hard deadline or regulatory pressure?
  YES → WSJF (Cost of Delay drives sequencing)
  NO  → Do you have reach/usage data?
          YES → RICE (data-driven, accounts for user reach)
          NO  → Are you in a time-boxed planning session?
                  YES → ICE (fast, 1-10 scales, no data required)
                  NO  → Is this a scope negotiation with stakeholders?
                          YES → MoSCoW (bucket features, control scope creep)
                          NO  → Value-Effort Matrix (quick 2x2 triage)
FrameworkBest ForData RequiredTime to Score
RICEData-rich teams, steady-state prioritizationAnalytics, user counts30-60 min
WSJFSAFe orgs, time-sensitive or regulated workRelative estimates only15-30 min
ICEStartup speed, early validation, quick triageNone5-10 min
MoSCoWScope negotiation, release planningStakeholder input1-2 hours
Value-Effort2x2 visual, quick team alignmentNone10-15 min

是否存在硬性截止日期或监管压力?
  是 → WSJF(延迟成本驱动排序)
  否 → 是否有触达/使用数据?
          是 → RICE(数据驱动,考虑用户触达范围)
          否 → 是否处于时间盒规划会议中?
                  是 → ICE(快速评估,采用1-10评分,无需数据)
                  否 → 是否在与利益相关方进行范围协商?
                          是 → MoSCoW(对功能进行分类,控制范围蔓延)
                          否 → 价值-工作量矩阵(快速2x2分类)
框架最佳适用场景是否需要数据评分耗时
RICE数据充足的团队、稳定状态下的优先级排序分析数据、用户数量30-60分钟
WSJF采用SAFe框架的组织、时间敏感或受监管的工作仅需相对估算15-30分钟
ICE追求速度的初创公司、早期验证、快速分类无需数据5-10分钟
MoSCoW范围协商、版本规划利益相关方输入1-2小时
价值-工作量2x2可视化、快速团队对齐无需数据10-15分钟

RICE

RICE

RICE Score = (Reach × Impact × Confidence) / Effort
FactorScaleNotes
ReachActual users/quarterUse analytics; do not estimate
Impact0.25 / 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3Minimal → Massive per user
Confidence0.3 / 0.5 / 0.8 / 1.0Moonshot → Strong data
EffortPerson-monthsInclude design, eng, QA
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RICE 评分 = (触达范围 × 影响力 × 置信度) / 工作量
因素评分范围说明
触达范围每季度实际用户数使用分析数据;不要估算
影响力0.25 / 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 3从“极小”到“极大”(按单用户计算)
置信度0.3 / 0.5 / 0.8 / 1.0从“天马行空”到“数据充分”
工作量人月包含设计、开发、QA
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RICE Scoring: [Feature Name]

RICE 评分示例:[功能名称]

FeatureReachImpactConfidenceEffortScore
Smart search50,00020.8326,667
CSV export10,0000.51.00.510,000
Dark mode30,0000.251.017,500

See [rules/prioritize-rice.md](rules/prioritize-rice.md) for ICE, Kano, and full scale tables.

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功能触达范围影响力置信度工作量评分
智能搜索50,00020.8326,667
CSV导出10,0000.51.00.510,000
深色模式30,0000.251.017,500

查看 [rules/prioritize-rice.md](rules/prioritize-rice.md) 获取ICE、Kano及完整评分表。

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WSJF

WSJF

WSJF = Cost of Delay / Job Size
Cost of Delay = User Value + Time Criticality + Risk Reduction  (1-21 Fibonacci each)
Higher WSJF = do first. Fibonacci scale (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21) forces relative sizing.
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WSJF = 延迟成本 / 任务规模
延迟成本 = 用户价值 + 时间紧迫性 + 风险降低 (每项采用1-21斐波那契评分)
WSJF 分数越高,越优先处理。斐波那契量表(1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21)用于强制相对规模估算。
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WSJF: GDPR Compliance Update

WSJF 示例:GDPR合规更新

User Value: 8 (required for EU customers) Time Criticality: 21 (regulatory deadline this quarter) Risk Reduction: 13 (avoids significant fines) Job Size: 8 (medium complexity)
Cost of Delay = 8 + 21 + 13 = 42 WSJF = 42 / 8 = 5.25

See [rules/prioritize-wsjf.md](rules/prioritize-wsjf.md) for MoSCoW buckets and practical tips.
See [references/wsjf-guide.md](references/wsjf-guide.md) for the full scoring guide.

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用户价值: 8 (欧盟客户必需) 时间紧迫性: 21 (本季度有监管截止日期) 风险降低: 13 (避免高额罚款) 任务规模: 8 (中等复杂度)
延迟成本 = 8 + 21 + 13 = 42 WSJF = 42 / 8 = 5.25

查看 [rules/prioritize-wsjf.md](rules/prioritize-wsjf.md) 获取MoSCoW分类及实用技巧。
查看 [references/wsjf-guide.md](references/wsjf-guide.md) 获取完整评分指南。

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ICE

ICE

ICE Score = Impact × Confidence × Ease    (all factors 1-10)
No user data required. Score relative to other backlog items. Useful for early-stage products and rapid triage sessions.

ICE 评分 = 影响力 × 置信度 × 易用性    (所有因素采用1-10评分)
无需用户数据。相对于其他待办事项进行评分。适用于早期产品和快速分类会议。

MoSCoW

MoSCoW

Bucket features before estimation. Must-Haves alone should ship a viable product.
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在估算前对功能进行分类。仅“必须拥有”的功能就应该能交付一个可用的产品。
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Release 1.0 MoSCoW

1.0版本MoSCoW分类

Must Have (~60% of effort)

必须拥有 (~60%工作量)

  • User authentication
  • Core CRUD operations
  • 用户认证
  • 核心CRUD操作

Should Have (~20%)

应该拥有 (~20%)

  • Search, export, notifications
  • 搜索、导出、通知

Could Have (~20%)

可以拥有 (~20%)

  • Dark mode, keyboard shortcuts
  • 深色模式、键盘快捷键

Won't Have (documented out-of-scope)

不会拥有(已记录为范围外)

  • Mobile app (Release 2.0)
  • AI features (Release 2.0)

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  • 移动端应用(2.0版本)
  • AI功能(2.0版本)

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Opportunity Cost & Trade-Off Analysis

机会成本与取舍分析

When two items compete for the same team capacity, quantify what delaying each item costs per month.
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当两个工作项竞争同一团队资源时,量化每个工作项每月延迟的成本。
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Trade-Off: AI Search vs Platform Migration (Q2 eng team)

取舍分析:AI搜索 vs 平台迁移(Q2开发团队)

Option A: AI Search

选项A: AI搜索

  • Cost of Delay: $25K/month (competitive risk)
  • RICE Score: 18,000
  • Effort: 6 weeks
  • 延迟成本: 每月2.5万美元(竞争风险)
  • RICE评分: 18,000
  • 工作量: 6周

Option B: Platform Migration

选项B: 平台迁移

  • Cost of Delay: $5K/month (tech debt interest)
  • RICE Score: 4,000
  • Effort: 8 weeks
  • 延迟成本: 每月5000美元(技术债务利息)
  • RICE评分: 4,000
  • 工作量: 8周

Recommendation

建议

Human decides. Key factors:
  1. Q2 OKR: Increase trial-to-paid conversion (favors AI Search)
  2. Engineering capacity: Only one team, sequential not parallel
  3. Customer commitment: No contractual deadline for either

See [rules/prioritize-opportunity-cost.md](rules/prioritize-opportunity-cost.md) for the Value-Effort Matrix and full trade-off template.
See [references/rice-scoring-guide.md](references/rice-scoring-guide.md) for detailed RICE calibration.

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由人工决策。关键因素:
  1. Q2 OKR: 提高试用转付费转化率(倾向AI搜索)
  2. 开发能力: 只有一个团队,只能串行而非并行处理
  3. 客户承诺: 两者均无合同截止日期

查看 [rules/prioritize-opportunity-cost.md](rules/prioritize-opportunity-cost.md) 获取价值-工作量矩阵及完整取舍模板。
查看 [references/rice-scoring-guide.md](references/rice-scoring-guide.md) 获取详细RICE校准方法。

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Common Pitfalls

常见陷阱

PitfallMitigation
Gaming scores to justify pre-decided workCalibrate as a team; document assumptions
Mixing frameworks in one tablePick one framework per planning session
Only tracking high-RICE items; ignoring cost of delayCombine RICE with explicit delay cost analysis
MoSCoW Must-Have bloat (>70% of scope)Must-Haves alone must ship a viable product
Comparing RICE scores across different goalsOnly compare within the same objective

陷阱缓解措施
操纵分数来证明预先决定的工作合理性团队共同校准;记录假设
在同一个表格中混合使用多种框架每次规划会议选择一种框架
只跟踪高RICE分数的工作项;忽略延迟成本将RICE与明确的延迟成本分析结合使用
MoSCoW“必须拥有”功能膨胀(超过70%范围)仅“必须拥有”的功能就应该能交付一个可用的产品
跨不同目标比较RICE分数仅在同一目标内进行比较

Related Skills

相关技能

  • product-frameworks
    — Full PM toolkit (value prop, market sizing, competitive analysis, user research, business case)
  • write-prd
    — Convert prioritized features into product requirements documents
  • product-analytics
    — Define and instrument the metrics that feed RICE reach/impact scores
  • okr-design
    — Set the objectives that determine which KPIs drive RICE impact scoring
  • market-sizing
    — TAM/SAM/SOM analysis that informs strategic priority
  • competitive-analysis
    — Competitor context that raises or lowers WSJF time criticality scores

Version: 1.0.0
  • product-frameworks
    — 完整PM工具包(价值主张、市场规模、竞争分析、用户研究、商业案例)
  • write-prd
    — 将优先级排序后的功能转换为产品需求文档
  • product-analytics
    — 定义并监测为RICE提供触达/影响力分数的指标
  • okr-design
    — 设定目标,确定哪些KPI驱动RICE影响力评分
  • market-sizing
    — TAM/SAM/SOM分析,为战略优先级提供信息
  • competitive-analysis
    — 竞争对手背景,影响WSJF时间紧迫性评分

版本: 1.0.0