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Breadth Chart Analyst

市场宽度图表分析师

Overview

概述

This skill enables specialized analysis of two complementary market breadth charts that provide strategic (medium to long-term) and tactical (short-term) market perspectives. Analyze breadth chart images to assess market health, identify trading signals based on backtested strategies, and develop positioning recommendations. All thinking and output are conducted exclusively in English.
此Skill可对两类互补的市场宽度图表进行专业分析，分别提供战略（中长期）和战术（短期）市场视角。通过分析宽度图表图像评估市场健康状况，基于回测策略识别交易信号，并制定仓位配置建议。所有思考和输出均全程使用英文。

Core Principles

核心原则

  1. Dual-Timeframe Analysis: Combine strategic (Chart 1: 200MA Breadth) and tactical (Chart 2: Uptrend Ratio) perspectives
  2. Backtested Strategy Focus: Apply proven systematic strategies based on historical patterns
  3. Objective Signal Identification: Focus on clearly defined thresholds, transitions, and markers
  4. English Communication: Conduct all analysis and generate all reports in English
  5. Actionable Recommendations: Provide specific positioning guidance for different investor types
  1. 双时间框架分析：结合战略（图表1：200MA宽度指数）与战术（图表2：上涨股票比率）视角
  2. 聚焦回测验证策略：应用基于历史模式验证的系统化策略
  3. 客观识别信号：聚焦明确定义的阈值、转折和标记
  4. 英文沟通：所有分析和报告均使用英文完成
  5. 可执行建议：为不同类型投资者提供具体仓位配置指导

Chart Types and Purposes

图表类型及用途

Chart 1: S&P 500 Breadth Index (200-Day MA Based)

图表1：S&P 500宽度指数（基于200-Day MA）

Purpose: Medium to long-term strategic market positioning
Key Elements:
  • 8-Day MA (Orange Line): Short-term breadth trend, primary entry signal generator
  • 200-Day MA (Green Line): Long-term breadth trend, primary exit signal generator
  • Red Dashed Line (73%): Average peak level - market overheating threshold
  • Blue Dashed Line (23%): Average 8MA trough level - extreme oversold, excellent buying opportunity
  • Triangles:
    • Purple ▼ = 8MA troughs (buy signal when reverses)
    • Blue ▼ = 200MA troughs (major cycle lows)
    • Red ▲ = 200MA peaks (sell signal)
  • Pink Background: Downtrend periods
Backtested Strategy:
  • BUY: When 8MA reverses from a trough (especially below 23%)
  • SELL: When 200MA forms a peak (typically near/above 73%)
  • Result: Historically high performance, avoids bear markets
用途：中长期战略市场仓位配置
关键要素:
  • 8-Day MA（橙色线）：短期宽度趋势，主要入场信号生成器
  • 200-Day MA（绿色线）：长期宽度趋势，主要离场信号生成器
  • 红色虚线（73%）：平均峰值水平 - 市场过热阈值
  • 蓝色虚线（23%）：平均8MA谷底水平 - 极端超卖，绝佳买入机会
  • 三角形标记:
    • 紫色▼ = 8MA谷底（反转时为买入信号）
    • 蓝色▼ = 200MA谷底（主要周期低点）
    • 红色▲ = 200MA峰值（卖出信号）
  • 粉色背景：下跌趋势阶段
回测验证策略:
  • 买入：当8MA从谷底反转时（尤其是低于23%时）
  • 卖出：当200MA形成峰值时（通常接近或高于73%）
  • 结果：历史表现优异，可规避熊市

Chart 2: US Stock Market - Uptrend Stock Ratio

图表2：美股市场 - 上涨股票比率

Purpose: Short-term tactical timing and swing trading
Key Elements:
  • Uptrend Stock Definition: Stocks above 200MA/50MA/20MA with positive 1-month performance
  • Green Regions: Market in uptrend phase
  • Red Regions: Market in downtrend phase
  • ~10% Level (Lower Orange Dashed): Short-term bottom, extreme oversold
  • ~40% Level (Upper Orange Dashed): Short-term top, market overheating
Swing Trading Strategy:
  • ENTER LONG: When color changes from red to green (especially from <10-15% levels)
  • EXIT LONG: When color changes from green to red (especially from >35-40% levels)
  • Timeframe: Days to weeks
用途：短期战术时机把握和波段交易
关键要素:
  • 上涨股票定义：位于200MA/50MA/20MA上方且月度表现为正的股票
  • 绿色区域：市场处于上涨趋势阶段
  • 红色区域：市场处于下跌趋势阶段
  • ~10%水平（下方橙色虚线）：短期底部，极端超卖
  • ~40%水平（上方橙色虚线）：短期顶部，市场过热
波段交易策略:
  • 入场做多：当颜色从红色变为绿色时（尤其是从<10-15%水平回升时）
  • 离场平仓：当颜色从绿色变为红色时（尤其是从>35-40%水平回落时）
  • 时间框架：数天至数周

Analysis Workflow

分析流程

Step 1: Receive Chart Images and Prepare Analysis

步骤1：接收图表图像并准备分析

When the user provides breadth chart images for analysis:
  1. Confirm receipt of chart image(s)
  2. Identify which chart(s) are provided:
    • Chart 1 only (200MA Breadth)
    • Chart 2 only (Uptrend Ratio)
    • Both charts
  3. Note any specific focus areas or questions from the user
  4. Proceed with systematic analysis
Language Note: All subsequent thinking, analysis, and output will be in English.
当用户提供宽度图表图像用于分析时：
  1. 确认收到图表图像
  2. 识别提供的图表类型:
    • 仅图表1（200MA宽度指数）
    • 仅图表2（上涨股票比率）
    • 两类图表均提供
  3. 记录用户提出的特定关注点或问题
  4. 启动系统化分析
语言说明：后续所有思考、分析和输出均使用英文。

Step 2: Load Breadth Chart Methodology

步骤2：加载宽度图表方法学文档

Before beginning analysis, read the comprehensive breadth chart methodology:
Read: references/breadth_chart_methodology.md
This reference contains detailed guidance on:
  • Chart 1: 200MA-based breadth index interpretation and strategy
  • Chart 2: Uptrend stock ratio interpretation and strategy
  • Signal identification and threshold significance
  • Strategy rules and risk management
  • Combining both charts for optimal decision-making
  • Common pitfalls to avoid
开始分析前，阅读完整的宽度图表方法学文档：
Read: references/breadth_chart_methodology.md
此参考文档包含以下详细指导：
  • 图表1：基于200MA的宽度指数解读与策略
  • 图表2：上涨股票比率解读与策略
  • 信号识别与阈值意义
  • 策略规则与风险管理
  • 结合两类图表实现最优决策
  • 需避免的常见误区

Step 3: Examine Sample Charts (First Time or for Reference)

步骤3：查看示例图表（首次使用或作为参考）

To understand the chart format and visual elements, review the sample charts included in this skill:
View: assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg
View: assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg
These samples demonstrate:
  • Visual appearance and structure of each chart type
  • How signals and thresholds are displayed
  • Color coding and marker systems
  • Historical patterns and cycles
为理解图表格式和视觉元素，查看此Skill中包含的示例图表：
View: assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg
View: assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg
这些示例展示：
  • 各类图表的视觉外观和结构
  • 信号和阈值的显示方式
  • 颜色编码和标记系统
  • 历史模式和周期

Step 4: Analyze Chart 1 (200MA-Based Breadth Index)

步骤4：分析图表1（基于200MA的宽度指数）

If Chart 1 is provided, conduct systematic analysis:
若提供了图表1，执行系统化分析：

4.1 Extract Current Readings

4.1 提取当前读数

From the chart image, identify:
  • Current 8MA level (orange line): Specific percentage
  • Current 200MA level (green line): Specific percentage
  • 8MA slope: Rising, falling, or flat
  • 200MA slope: Rising, falling, or flat
  • Distance from 73% threshold: How close to overheating
  • Distance from 23% threshold: How close to extreme oversold
  • Most recent date visible on the chart
从图表图像中识别：
  • 当前8MA水平（橙色线）：具体百分比
  • 当前200MA水平（绿色线）：具体百分比
  • 8MA斜率：上升、下降或持平
  • 200MA斜率：上升、下降或持平
  • 与73%阈值的距离：接近过热的程度
  • 与23%阈值的距离：接近极端超卖的程度
  • 图表可见的最新日期

4.1.5 CRITICAL: Latest Data Point Detailed Trend Analysis

4.1.5 关键：最新数据点趋势详细分析

This step is MANDATORY to avoid misreading recent trend changes.
Focus intensively on the rightmost 3-5 data points of the chart (most recent weeks):
For 8MA (Orange Line) - Analyze the very latest trajectory:
  1. Identify the absolute latest position: Where is the 8MA at the rightmost edge of the chart?
  2. Trace back 3-5 data points (approximately 3-5 weeks):
    • What was the 8MA level 1 week ago?
    • What was the 8MA level 2 weeks ago?
    • What was the 8MA level 3 weeks ago?
  3. Calculate the directional change:
    • Is the latest value HIGHER or LOWER than 1 week ago?
    • Is the latest value HIGHER or LOWER than 2 weeks ago?
    • What is the trend: consistently rising, consistently falling, or mixed?
  4. Determine the CURRENT slope (not historical slope):
    • Rising: Latest data point is higher than previous 2-3 points AND shows upward curvature
    • Falling: Latest data point is lower than previous 2-3 points AND shows downward curvature
    • Flat: Latest data point is approximately equal to previous points (within 2-3%)
Critical Questions to Answer:
  • Is the 8MA currently moving UP or DOWN at the rightmost edge?
  • If there was a recent trough, has the 8MA sustained the upward move, or has it rolled over?
  • Count consecutive periods of increase: How many consecutive periods has 8MA risen? (Need 2-3 for confirmation)
  • Count consecutive periods of decrease: How many consecutive periods has 8MA fallen? (Indicates failed reversal if declining after trough)
For 200MA (Green Line) - Analyze the very latest trajectory:
  1. Identify the absolute latest position: Where is the 200MA at the rightmost edge?
  2. Trace back 4-6 weeks:
    • What was the 200MA level 2 weeks ago?
    • What was the 200MA level 4 weeks ago?
  3. Determine the CURRENT slope:
    • Is it rising, falling, or flat in the most recent period?
Failed Reversal Detection (CRITICAL): If an 8MA trough (purple ▼) was recently identified:
  • Did the 8MA rise for only 1-2 periods and then turn back down?
  • Did the 8MA fail to reach 60% before turning down?
  • Is the 8MA currently declining again after the bounce?
  • If YES to any: This is a FAILED REVERSAL - DO NOT ENTER, signal is INVALID
Example Analysis Format:
Latest 8MA Data Points (rightmost to left):
- Current (Week 0): 48%
- 1 week ago: 52%
- 2 weeks ago: 55%
- 3 weeks ago: 50%

Analysis: 8MA is FALLING. It rose from 50% to 55% (weeks 3-2), but has since declined to 48%.
This shows a failed reversal pattern - bounce was temporary, downtrend has resumed.
SLOPE: Falling (not rising!)
此步骤为必填项，避免误判近期趋势变化。
重点关注图表最右侧3-5个数据点（最近数周）：
针对8MA（橙色线）- 分析最新轨迹:
  1. 确定最右侧最新位置：8MA在图表最右侧的位置？
  2. 回溯3-5个数据点（约3-5周）:
    • 1周前的8MA水平是多少？
    • 2周前的8MA水平是多少？
    • 3周前的8MA水平是多少？
  3. 计算方向变化:
    • 最新值比1周前更高还是更低？
    • 最新值比2周前更高还是更低？
    • 趋势：持续上升、持续下降或波动？
  4. 确定当前斜率（非历史斜率）:
    • 上升：最新数据点高于前2-3个点且呈向上曲线
    • 下降：最新数据点低于前2-3个点且呈向下曲线
    • 持平：最新数据点与前几个点大致相等（误差在2-3%以内）
需回答的关键问题:
  • 8MA在图表最右侧当前是向上还是向下移动？
  • 若近期出现谷底，8MA是否持续上升，还是已回落？
  • 连续上升周期数：8MA已连续上升多少个周期？（需2-3个周期确认）
  • 连续下降周期数：8MA已连续下降多少个周期？（若谷底后下降则表明反转失败）
针对200MA（绿色线）- 分析最新轨迹:
  1. 确定最右侧最新位置：200MA在图表最右侧的位置？
  2. 回溯4-6周:
    • 2周前的200MA水平是多少？
    • 4周前的200MA水平是多少？
  3. 确定当前斜率:
    • 近期是上升、下降还是持平？
反转失败检测（关键）: 若识别出近期8MA谷底（紫色▼）:
  • 8MA仅上升1-2个周期后就回落？
  • 8MA在回落前未达到60%？
  • 8MA在反弹后当前再次下降？
  • 若以上任意一项为是：此为反转失败 - 请勿入场，信号无效
示例分析格式:
Latest 8MA Data Points (rightmost to left):
- Current (Week 0): 48%
- 1 week ago: 52%
- 2 weeks ago: 55%
- 3 weeks ago: 50%

Analysis: 8MA is FALLING. It rose from 50% to 55% (weeks 3-2), but has since declined to 48%.
This shows a failed reversal pattern - bounce was temporary, downtrend has resumed.
SLOPE: Falling (not rising!)

4.2 Identify Signal Markers

4.2 识别信号标记

Look for and document:
  • Most recent 8MA trough (purple ▼): Date and level
  • Most recent 200MA trough (blue ▼): Date and level (if visible in timeframe)
  • Most recent 200MA peak (red ▲): Date and level
  • Days/weeks since most recent signals
  • Any pink background shading (downtrend periods)
查找并记录：
  • 最近的8MA谷底（紫色▼）：日期和水平
  • 最近的200MA谷底（蓝色▼）：日期和水平（若在时间范围内可见）
  • 最近的200MA峰值（红色▲）：日期和水平
  • 距最近信号的天数/周数
  • 任何粉色背景阴影（下跌趋势阶段）

4.3 Assess Market Regime

4.3 评估市场状态

Based on readings and patterns, classify the current market as:
  • Healthy Bull Market
  • Overheated Bull Market
  • Market Top/Distribution Phase
  • Bear Market/Correction
  • Capitulation/Extreme Oversold
  • Early Recovery
Support the classification with specific evidence from the chart.
基于读数和模式，将当前市场分类为：
  • 健康牛市
  • 过热牛市
  • 市场顶部/派发阶段
  • 熊市/回调
  • 恐慌性抛售/极端超卖
  • 早期复苏
用图表中的具体证据支持分类结果。

4.4 Determine Strategy Position

4.4 确定策略仓位

Apply the backtested strategy rules with STRICT confirmation requirements:
Check for BUY signal (ALL criteria must be met):
  1. ✓ Trough Formation: Has 8MA formed a clear trough (purple ▼)?
  2. ✓ Reversal Initiated: Has 8MA begun to move upward from the trough?
  3. ✓ Confirmation Achieved: Has 8MA risen for 2-3 CONSECUTIVE periods after the trough?
  4. ✓ No Recent Reversal: Based on Step 4.1.5 analysis, is 8MA CURRENTLY rising (not falling)?
  5. ✓ Sustained Move: Has 8MA maintained the upward trajectory without rolling over?
  6. ⭐ Optional but Strong: Is 8MA below or near 23% (extreme oversold) at trough?
BUY Signal Status:
  • CONFIRMED: All 5 required criteria met → ENTER LONG
  • DEVELOPING: Trough formed, but < 2-3 consecutive increases → WAIT, MONITOR
  • FAILED: Trough formed, but 8MA has rolled over and is declining → DO NOT ENTER, WAIT FOR NEXT TROUGH
  • NO SIGNAL: No trough formed → WAIT
Check for SELL signal:
  • Has 200MA formed a peak (red ▲)?
  • Is 200MA near or above 73%?
  • Is this an active sell signal requiring position exit?
Current position determination:
  • Long: BUY signal confirmed, position entered and held
  • Preparing to Enter: BUY signal developing (trough formed, watching for confirmation)
  • WAIT / Flat: No valid signal OR failed reversal detected
  • Preparing to Exit: SELL signal developing (200MA approaching peak)
严格按照回测验证的策略规则执行，需满足确认要求：
买入信号检查（所有标准必须满足）:
  1. ✓ 谷底形成：8MA是否形成明确谷底（紫色▼）？
  2. ✓ 反转启动：8MA是否已从谷底开始向上移动？
  3. ✓ 确认完成：8MA在谷底后是否已连续上升2-3个周期？
  4. ✓ 无近期反转回落：根据步骤4.1.5分析，8MA当前是否处于上升趋势（非下降）？
  5. ✓ 趋势持续：8MA是否保持上升轨迹未回落？
  6. ⭐ 可选但强力信号：谷底时8MA是否低于或接近23%（极端超卖）？
买入信号状态:
  • 已确认：满足所有5项必填标准 → 入场做多
  • 发展中：已形成谷底，但连续上升周期<2-3 → 等待，持续监控
  • 失败：已形成谷底，但8MA已回落并下降 → 请勿入场，等待下一个谷底
  • 无信号：未形成谷底 → 等待
卖出信号检查:
  • 200MA是否形成峰值（红色▲）？
  • 200MA是否接近或高于73%？
  • 这是否为需离场的有效卖出信号？
当前仓位确定:
  • 做多：买入信号已确认，已入场并持有仓位
  • 准备入场：买入信号发展中（已形成谷底，等待确认）
  • 等待/空仓：无有效信号或检测到反转失败
  • 准备离场：卖出信号发展中（200MA接近峰值）

4.5 Develop Scenarios

4.5 制定场景假设

Create 2-3 scenarios with probability estimates:
  • Base case scenario (highest probability)
  • Alternative scenario(s)
  • Each scenario includes: description, supporting factors, strategy implications, key levels
创建2-3个带概率估计的场景：
  • 基准场景（最高概率）
  • 替代场景
  • 每个场景包含：描述、支持因素、策略影响、关键水平

Step 5: Analyze Chart 2 (Uptrend Stock Ratio)

步骤5：分析图表2（上涨股票比率）

If Chart 2 is provided, conduct systematic analysis:
若提供了图表2，执行系统化分析：

5.1 Extract Current Readings

5.1 提取当前读数

From the chart image, identify:
  • Current uptrend stock ratio: Specific percentage
  • Current color: Green (uptrend) or Red (downtrend)
  • Ratio slope: Rising, falling, or flat
  • Distance from 10% threshold: How close to extreme oversold
  • Distance from 40% threshold: How close to overbought
  • Most recent date visible on the chart
从图表图像中识别：
  • 当前上涨股票比率：具体百分比
  • 当前颜色：绿色（上涨趋势）或红色（下跌趋势）
  • 比率斜率：上升、下降或持平
  • 与10%阈值的距离：接近极端超卖的程度
  • 与40%阈值的距离：接近超买的程度
  • 图表可见的最新日期

5.2 Identify Trend Transitions

5.2 识别趋势转折

Look for and document:
  • Most recent red-to-green transition: Date and ratio level at transition
  • Most recent green-to-red transition: Date and ratio level at transition
  • Duration of current color phase: How long in current trend
  • Days/weeks since most recent transition
查找并记录：
  • 最近的红转绿转折：转折日期和比率水平
  • 最近的绿转红转折：转折日期和比率水平
  • 当前颜色阶段持续时间：当前趋势已持续多久
  • 距最近转折的天数/周数

5.3 Assess Market Condition

5.3 评估市场状况

Based on current ratio and color, classify as:
  • Extreme Oversold (<10%)
  • Moderate Bearish (10-20%, red)
  • Neutral/Transitional (20-30%)
  • Moderate Bullish (30-37%, green)
  • Extreme Overbought (>37-40%)
Support the classification with specific evidence from the chart.
基于当前比率和颜色，分类为：
  • 极端超卖（<10%）
  • 中度看空（10-20%，红色）
  • 中性/过渡（20-30%）
  • 中度看多（30-37%，绿色）
  • 极端超买（>37-40%）
用图表中的具体证据支持分类结果。

5.4 Determine Trading Position

5.4 确定交易仓位

Apply the swing trading strategy rules:
Check for ENTER LONG signal:
  • Has color changed from red to green?
  • Was the transition from an oversold level (<15%)?
  • Is the transition confirmed (2-3 days of green)?
Check for EXIT LONG signal:
  • Has color changed from green to red?
  • Was the transition from an overbought level (>35%)?
  • Is momentum weakening?
Current position: Long, Flat, Preparing to Enter, or Preparing to Exit
应用波段交易策略规则：
入场做多信号检查:
  • 颜色是否从红色变为绿色？
  • 转折是否从超卖水平（<15%）开始？
  • 转折是否已确认（连续2-3天绿色）？
离场平仓信号检查:
  • 颜色是否从绿色变为红色？
  • 转折是否从超买水平（>35%）开始？
  • 动量是否正在减弱？
当前仓位：做多、空仓、准备入场或准备离场

5.5 Develop Scenarios

5.5 制定场景假设

Create 2-3 scenarios with probability estimates:
  • Base case scenario (highest probability)
  • Alternative scenario(s)
  • Each scenario includes: description, supporting factors, trading implications, key levels
创建2-3个带概率估计的场景：
  • 基准场景（最高概率）
  • 替代场景
  • 每个场景包含：描述、支持因素、交易影响、关键水平

Step 6: Combined Analysis (When Both Charts Provided)

步骤6：组合分析（当提供两类图表时）

If both charts are provided, integrate the strategic and tactical perspectives:
若提供了两类图表，整合战略和战术视角：

6.1 Alignment Assessment

6.1 一致性评估

Create a positioning matrix:
  • Chart 1 (Strategic): Bullish / Bearish / Neutral + signal status
  • Chart 2 (Tactical): Bullish / Bearish / Neutral + signal status
  • Combined Implication: How do they align or conflict?
创建仓位配置矩阵：
  • 图表1（战略）：看多/看空/中性 + 信号状态
  • 图表2（战术）：看多/看空/中性 + 信号状态
  • 组合影响：两者一致还是冲突？

6.2 Scenario Classification

6.2 场景分类

Determine which of the four scenarios applies:
Scenario 1: Both Bullish
  • Chart 1: 8MA rising, 200MA not yet peaked
  • Chart 2: Green (uptrend), ratio rising from oversold
  • Implication: Maximum bullish stance, aggressive positioning
Scenario 2: Strategic Bullish, Tactical Bearish
  • Chart 1: 8MA rising, 200MA not yet peaked
  • Chart 2: Red (downtrend), ratio falling or elevated
  • Implication: Hold core long positions, wait for tactical entry
Scenario 3: Strategic Bearish, Tactical Bullish
  • Chart 1: 200MA peaked or declining
  • Chart 2: Green (uptrend), ratio rising
  • Implication: Short-term tactical trades only, tight stops
Scenario 4: Both Bearish
  • Chart 1: Both MAs declining
  • Chart 2: Red (downtrend), ratio falling
  • Implication: Defensive positioning, cash or shorts
确定适用以下四个场景中的哪一个：
场景1：两者均看多
  • 图表1：8MA上升，200MA尚未形成峰值
  • 图表2：绿色（上涨趋势），比率从超卖水平回升
  • 影响：最大看多立场，激进仓位配置
场景2：战略看多，战术看空
  • 图表1：8MA上升，200MA尚未形成峰值
  • 图表2：红色（下跌趋势），比率下降或处于高位
  • 影响：持有核心多头仓位，等待战术入场时机
场景3：战略看空，战术看多
  • 图表1：200MA已形成峰值或下降
  • 图表2：绿色（上涨趋势），比率上升
  • 影响：仅进行短期战术交易，设置严格止损
场景4：两者均看空
  • 图表1：两条MA均下降
  • 图表2：红色（下跌趋势），比率下降
  • 影响：防御性仓位配置，持有现金或做空

6.3 Unified Recommendation

6.3 统一建议

Provide integrated positioning guidance for:
  • Long-term investors (based primarily on Chart 1)
  • Swing traders (based primarily on Chart 2)
  • Active tactical traders (based on combination)
Address any conflicts between charts and explain resolution.
为以下投资者提供整合的仓位配置指导：
  • 长期投资者（主要基于图表1）
  • 波段交易者（主要基于图表2）
  • 活跃战术交易者（基于组合分析）
解决两类图表之间的任何冲突并解释解决方案。

Step 7: Generate Analysis Report in English

步骤7：生成英文分析报告

Create a comprehensive markdown report using the template structure:
Read and use as template: assets/breadth_analysis_template.md
IMPORTANT: All analysis and output must be in English.
The report structure varies based on which chart(s) are analyzed:
If Chart 1 only:
  • Executive Summary
  • Chart 1 full analysis sections
  • Summary and Conclusion
  • Omit Chart 2 and Combined Analysis sections
If Chart 2 only:
  • Executive Summary
  • Chart 2 full analysis sections
  • Summary and Conclusion
  • Omit Chart 1 and Combined Analysis sections
If Both Charts:
  • Executive Summary
  • Chart 1 full analysis sections
  • Chart 2 full analysis sections
  • Combined Analysis section (mandatory)
  • Summary and Conclusion
File Naming Convention: Save each analysis as:
  • Chart 1 only: 
    breadth_200ma_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md
  • Chart 2 only: 
    uptrend_ratio_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md
  • Both charts: 
    breadth_combined_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md
使用模板结构创建完整的Markdown报告：
Read and use as template: assets/breadth_analysis_template.md
重要提示：所有分析和输出必须使用英文。
报告结构根据分析的图表类型有所不同：
若仅分析图表1:
  • 执行摘要
  • 图表1完整分析章节
  • 总结与结论
  • 省略图表2和组合分析章节
若仅分析图表2:
  • 执行摘要
  • 图表2完整分析章节
  • 总结与结论
  • 省略图表1和组合分析章节
若分析两类图表:
  • 执行摘要
  • 图表1完整分析章节
  • 图表2完整分析章节
  • 组合分析章节（必填）
  • 总结与结论
文件命名规范：每份分析报告保存为：
  • 仅图表1：
    breadth_200ma_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md
  • 仅图表2：
    uptrend_ratio_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md
  • 两类图表：
    breadth_combined_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md

Step 8: Quality Assurance

步骤8：质量保证

Before finalizing the report, verify:
  1. ✓ Language: All content is in English (thinking and output)
  2. ✓ Latest Data Trend Analysis: Step 4.1.5 was thoroughly completed - the most recent 3-5 data points were analyzed to determine CURRENT trend direction
  3. ✓ Trend Direction Accuracy: The stated 8MA slope (Rising/Falling/Flat) accurately reflects the RIGHTMOST data points, not historical movement
  4. ✓ Failed Reversal Check: If a trough was identified, explicitly verified whether the reversal sustained or failed by analyzing latest trajectory
  5. ✓ Specific Values: All readings include specific percentages/levels, not vague descriptions
  6. ✓ Signal Status: Clear identification of active signals (CONFIRMED BUY / DEVELOPING / FAILED / SELL / WAIT)
  7. ✓ Strategy Alignment: Recommendations align with backtested strategies and confirmation requirements
  8. ✓ Probabilities: Scenario probabilities sum to 100%
  9. ✓ Actionable: Clear positioning recommendations for different trader types
  10. ✓ Context: Historical comparison and reference to similar past situations
  11. ✓ Risk Management: Invalidation levels and risk factors clearly stated
最终确定报告前，验证以下内容：
  1. ✓ 语言：所有内容均为英文（思考和输出）
  2. ✓ 最新数据趋势分析：已完成步骤4.1.5 - 分析了最近3-5个数据点以确定当前趋势方向
  3. ✓ 趋势方向准确性：所陈述的8MA斜率（上升/下降/持平）准确反映最右侧数据点，而非历史走势
  4. ✓ 反转失败检查：若识别出谷底，通过分析最新轨迹明确验证反转是否持续或失败
  5. ✓ 具体数值：所有读数包含具体百分比/水平，而非模糊描述
  6. ✓ 信号状态：清晰识别有效信号（已确认买入/发展中/失败/卖出/等待）
  7. ✓ 策略一致性：建议与回测验证的策略和确认要求一致
  8. ✓ 概率：场景概率总和为100%
  9. ✓ 可执行性：为不同类型交易者提供明确的仓位配置建议
  10. ✓ 背景：与历史相似情况进行比较和参考
  11. ✓ 风险管理：明确说明无效水平和风险因素

Quality Standards

质量标准

Objectivity Requirements

客观性要求

  • Base all analysis strictly on observable chart data
  • Do not incorporate external information (news, fundamentals) unless specifically relevant
  • Use precise technical terminology consistently
  • Distinguish clearly between factual observations and probabilistic forecasts
  • Acknowledge uncertainty when signals are ambiguous
  • 所有分析严格基于可观察的图表数据
  • 除非特别相关，否则不纳入外部信息（新闻、基本面）
  • 持续使用精确的技术术语
  • 明确区分事实观察和概率预测
  • 当信号模糊时承认不确定性

Completeness Requirements

完整性要求

  • Address all relevant sections of the analysis template
  • Provide specific numerical values for all key metrics
  • Justify probability estimates with technical factors
  • Include invalidation levels for each scenario
  • Compare current readings to historical patterns visible on the charts
  • 覆盖分析模板的所有相关章节
  • 为所有关键指标提供具体数值
  • 用技术因素证明概率估计的合理性
  • 为每个场景包含无效水平
  • 将当前读数与图表中可见的历史模式进行比较

Clarity Requirements

清晰度要求

  • Write in professional, analytical English
  • Use clear section headings and structure
  • Present information in tables where appropriate
  • Make recommendations specific and actionable
  • Avoid jargon without explanation
  • 使用专业、分析性的英文写作
  • 使用清晰的章节标题和结构
  • 适当时使用表格呈现信息
  • 建议具体且可执行
  • 避免无解释的行话

Strategy Adherence Requirements

策略遵循要求

  • Apply backtested strategy rules correctly
  • Distinguish between strategic (Chart 1) and tactical (Chart 2) signals
  • Provide clear position status (Long/Flat/Entering/Exiting)
  • Include specific entry/exit levels when applicable
  • Address risk management (stop losses, position sizing)
  • 正确应用回测验证的策略规则
  • 区分战略（图表1）和战术（图表2）信号
  • 明确仓位状态（做多/空仓/准备入场/准备离场）
  • 适用时包含具体入场/离场水平
  • 涵盖风险管理（止损、仓位规模）

Example Usage Scenarios

示例使用场景

Example 1: Strategic Breadth Analysis (Chart 1 Only)

示例1：战略宽度分析（仅图表1）

User: "Please analyze this S&P 500 breadth chart and tell me where we are in the market cycle."
[Provides Chart 1 image: 200MA Breadth Index]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of Chart 1 (200MA-based breadth index)
2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 1 guidance
3. Views sample chart for format reference
4. Extracts current readings:
   - 8MA: 68%
   - 200MA: 75%
   - 8MA slope: Flat to slightly declining
   - 200MA slope: Rising but may be forming peak
   - Distance from 73% threshold: +2% (above threshold = overheated)
5. Identifies signals:
   - Most recent 8MA trough: 3 months ago at 25%
   - Most recent 200MA peak: None visible yet, but 200MA at 75% suggests potential peak forming
6. Assesses regime: Overheated Bull Market approaching Distribution Phase
7. Determines strategy position: Long position should prepare to exit; watch for 200MA peak confirmation
8. Develops scenarios:
   - Base Case (55%): 200MA forms peak in next 1-2 weeks, sell signal activates
   - Alternative (35%): Further consolidation at elevated levels before eventual peak
   - Bear Case (10%): Immediate rollover without clear peak formation
9. Generates comprehensive report in English: breadth_200ma_analysis_2025-11-02.md
User: "Please analyze this S&P 500 breadth chart and tell me where we are in the market cycle."
[Provides Chart 1 image: 200MA Breadth Index]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of Chart 1 (200MA-based breadth index)
2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 1 guidance
3. Views sample chart for format reference
4. Extracts current readings:
   - 8MA: 68%
   - 200MA: 75%
   - 8MA slope: Flat to slightly declining
   - 200MA slope: Rising but may be forming peak
   - Distance from 73% threshold: +2% (above threshold = overheated)
5. Identifies signals:
   - Most recent 8MA trough: 3 months ago at 25%
   - Most recent 200MA peak: None visible yet, but 200MA at 75% suggests potential peak forming
6. Assesses regime: Overheated Bull Market approaching Distribution Phase
7. Determines strategy position: Long position should prepare to exit; watch for 200MA peak confirmation
8. Develops scenarios:
   - Base Case (55%): 200MA forms peak in next 1-2 weeks, sell signal activates
   - Alternative (35%): Further consolidation at elevated levels before eventual peak
   - Bear Case (10%): Immediate rollover without clear peak formation
9. Generates comprehensive report in English: breadth_200ma_analysis_2025-11-02.md

Example 2: Tactical Uptrend Ratio Analysis (Chart 2 Only)

示例2：战术上涨比率分析（仅图表2）

User: "Should I be buying or selling here? Analyze this uptrend ratio chart."
[Provides Chart 2 image: Uptrend Stock Ratio]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of Chart 2 (Uptrend stock ratio)
2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 2 guidance
3. Views sample chart for format reference
4. Extracts current readings:
   - Current ratio: 12%
   - Current color: Green (uptrend)
   - Ratio slope: Rising sharply
   - Just transitioned from red to green 3 days ago at 11%
5. Identifies transitions:
   - Most recent red-to-green: 3 days ago at 11% (from extreme oversold)
   - Prior green-to-red: 2 weeks ago at 28%
6. Assesses condition: Early in new uptrend from extreme oversold
7. Determines trading position: ENTER LONG signal active, excellent risk/reward
8. Develops scenarios:
   - Base Case (65%): Ratio continues higher to 30-35% over next 2-3 weeks
   - Alternative (25%): Choppy advance, consolidates around 20% before next leg
   - Bear Case (10%): False breakout, returns to red quickly
9. Generates tactical report in English: uptrend_ratio_analysis_2025-11-02.md
User: "Should I be buying or selling here? Analyze this uptrend ratio chart."
[Provides Chart 2 image: Uptrend Stock Ratio]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of Chart 2 (Uptrend stock ratio)
2. Reads breadth_chart_methodology.md for Chart 2 guidance
3. Views sample chart for format reference
4. Extracts current readings:
   - Current ratio: 12%
   - Current color: Green (uptrend)
   - Ratio slope: Rising sharply
   - Just transitioned from red to green 3 days ago at 11%
5. Identifies transitions:
   - Most recent red-to-green: 3 days ago at 11% (from extreme oversold)
   - Prior green-to-red: 2 weeks ago at 28%
6. Assesses condition: Early in new uptrend from extreme oversold
7. Determines trading position: ENTER LONG signal active, excellent risk/reward
8. Develops scenarios:
   - Base Case (65%): Ratio continues higher to 30-35% over next 2-3 weeks
   - Alternative (25%): Choppy advance, consolidates around 20% before next leg
   - Bear Case (10%): False breakout, returns to red quickly
9. Generates tactical report in English: uptrend_ratio_analysis_2025-11-02.md

Example 3: Combined Strategic + Tactical Analysis (Both Charts)

示例3：战略+战术组合分析（两类图表）

User: "Analyze both of these breadth charts and give me your overall market view."
[Provides both Chart 1 and Chart 2 images]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of both charts
2. Reads full breadth_chart_methodology.md
3. Views both sample charts
4. Analyzes Chart 1:
   - 8MA: 55%, rising from trough 2 weeks ago at 30%
   - 200MA: 60%, still rising
   - Regime: Early Recovery to Healthy Bull Market
   - Strategy: Long position, hold
5. Analyzes Chart 2:
   - Ratio: 22%, green (uptrend)
   - Transitioned red-to-green 10 days ago from 14%
   - Condition: Moderate Bullish, building momentum
   - Trading: Hold long, entered on transition
6. Combined assessment:
   - Scenario 1: Both Bullish ✓
   - Strategic: Bullish (8MA reversal confirmed)
   - Tactical: Bullish (uptrend established from oversold)
   - Alignment: Strong alignment = Maximum conviction
7. Unified recommendation:
   - Long-term investors: Aggressive long positioning, core holdings
   - Swing traders: Hold longs entered on red-to-green, target 35%+
   - Active traders: Full position, favorable environment for longs
8. Develops integrated scenarios with probabilities
9. Generates comprehensive combined report in English: breadth_combined_analysis_2025-11-02.md
User: "Analyze both of these breadth charts and give me your overall market view."
[Provides both Chart 1 and Chart 2 images]

Breadth Analyst (thinking in English):
1. Confirms receipt of both charts
2. Reads full breadth_chart_methodology.md
3. Views both sample charts
4. Analyzes Chart 1:
   - 8MA: 55%, rising from trough 2 weeks ago at 30%
   - 200MA: 60%, still rising
   - Regime: Early Recovery to Healthy Bull Market
   - Strategy: Long position, hold
5. Analyzes Chart 2:
   - Ratio: 22%, green (uptrend)
   - Transitioned red-to-green 10 days ago from 14%
   - Condition: Moderate Bullish, building momentum
   - Trading: Hold long, entered on transition
6. Combined assessment:
   - Scenario 1: Both Bullish ✓
   - Strategic: Bullish (8MA reversal confirmed)
   - Tactical: Bullish (uptrend established from oversold)
   - Alignment: Strong alignment = Maximum conviction
7. Unified recommendation:
   - Long-term investors: Aggressive long positioning, core holdings
   - Swing traders: Hold longs entered on red-to-green, target 35%+
   - Active traders: Full position, favorable environment for longs
8. Develops integrated scenarios with probabilities
9. Generates comprehensive combined report in English: breadth_combined_analysis_2025-11-02.md

Resources

资源

This skill includes the following bundled resources:
此Skill包含以下捆绑资源：

references/breadth_chart_methodology.md

references/breadth_chart_methodology.md

Comprehensive methodology covering:
  • Chart 1 (200MA Breadth): Components, interpretation, market regimes, backtested strategy, analysis checklist
  • Chart 2 (Uptrend Ratio): Components, interpretation, market conditions, swing trading strategy, analysis checklist
  • Combined Analysis: Alignment scenarios, integrated decision-making
  • Common Pitfalls: Mistakes to avoid for each chart type
Usage: Read this file before conducting any breadth chart analysis to ensure systematic, accurate interpretation.
完整的方法学文档，涵盖：
  • 图表1（200MA宽度指数）：组成部分、解读、市场状态、回测验证策略、分析检查表
  • 图表2（上涨股票比率）：组成部分、解读、市场状况、波段交易策略、分析检查表
  • 组合分析：一致性场景、整合决策
  • 常见误区：各类图表需避免的错误
使用方式：进行任何宽度图表分析前阅读此文件，确保系统化、准确的解读。

assets/breadth_analysis_template.md

assets/breadth_analysis_template.md

Structured template for breadth analysis reports in English:
  • Executive Summary
  • Chart 1 analysis sections (if applicable)
  • Chart 2 analysis sections (if applicable)
  • Combined Analysis section (when both charts analyzed)
  • Summary and Conclusion
  • All sections include tables, checklists, and structured formats
Usage: Use this template structure for every analysis report. Adapt sections based on which chart(s) are being analyzed.
英文宽度分析报告的结构化模板：
  • 执行摘要
  • 图表1分析章节（如适用）
  • 图表2分析章节（如适用）
  • 组合分析章节（当分析两类图表时）
  • 总结与结论
  • 所有章节包含表格、检查表和结构化格式
使用方式：每份分析报告均使用此模板结构。根据分析的图表类型调整章节。

assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg

assets/SP500_Breadth_Index_200MA_8MA.jpeg

Sample Chart 1 image showing:
  • 8-day MA (orange) and 200-day MA (green) lines
  • Threshold levels (73% red dashed, 23% blue dashed)
  • Signal markers (triangles for troughs and peaks)
  • Pink background downtrend shading
  • Historical patterns from 2016-2025
Usage: Reference this sample to understand Chart 1 visual format and identify similar patterns in user-provided charts.
图表1示例图像，展示：
  • 8-day MA（橙色）和200-day MA（绿色）线
  • 阈值水平（73%红色虚线，23%蓝色虚线）
  • 信号标记（谷底和峰值的三角形）
  • 粉色背景下跌趋势阴影
  • 2016-2025年的历史模式
使用方式：参考此示例理解图表1的视觉格式，并在用户提供的图表中识别相似模式。

assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg

assets/US_Stock_Market_Uptrend_Ratio.jpeg

Sample Chart 2 image showing:
  • Green and red color-coded trend phases
  • Uptrend ratio percentage on y-axis
  • Threshold levels (~10% and ~40% orange dashed lines)
  • Short-term momentum patterns
  • Historical patterns from 2023-2025
Usage: Reference this sample to understand Chart 2 visual format and identify similar patterns in user-provided charts.
图表2示例图像，展示：
  • 绿色和红色编码的趋势阶段
  • y轴的上涨股票比率百分比
  • 阈值水平（10%和40%橙色虚线）
  • 短期动量模式
  • 2023-2025年的历史模式
使用方式：参考此示例理解图表2的视觉格式，并在用户提供的图表中识别相似模式。

Special Notes

特别说明

Language Requirement

语言要求

CRITICAL: All analysis, thinking, and output MUST be in English. This includes:
  • Internal analysis and reasoning
  • Report generation
  • Tables and data presentation
  • Scenario descriptions
  • Recommendations
Do not translate or use any other language. The user expects English output exclusively.
关键：所有分析、思考和输出必须使用英文。包括：
  • 内部分析和推理
  • 报告生成
  • 表格和数据呈现
  • 场景描述
  • 建议
请勿翻译或使用其他语言。用户仅接受英文输出。

Strategy Focus

策略聚焦

This skill emphasizes backtested, systematic strategies rather than discretionary interpretation. Always:
  • Apply the strategy rules as documented
  • Reference historical performance patterns
  • Provide specific entry/exit criteria
  • Include risk management guidance
此Skill强调回测验证的系统化策略，而非主观解读。始终：
  • 应用文档中记录的策略规则
  • 参考历史表现模式
  • 提供具体的入场/离场标准
  • 包含风险管理指导

Practical Application

实际应用

The goal is actionable intelligence. Every analysis should answer:
  • Strategic: Should I be long, flat, or short the market over the medium term?
  • Tactical: Should I enter or exit positions in the short term?
  • Timing: When should I act, and at what levels?
  • Risk: What would invalidate this view, and where should stops be?
目标是提供可执行的情报。每份分析应回答：
  • 战略层面：中期内我应该做多、空仓还是做空市场？
  • 战术层面：短期内我应该入场还是离场？
  • 时机：我应该何时行动，在什么水平？
  • 风险：什么情况会推翻此观点，止损位应设在哪里？