designing-growth-loops

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Original

English
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Translation

Chinese

Designing Growth Loops

增长循环设计

Scope

适用范围

Covers
  • Turning a growth goal into a loop-based growth model (micro loops + macro loops)
  • Designing and documenting loops: viral/referral, content/UGC, SEO, partner/integration, sales-assisted, and paid acquisition loops
  • Choosing channels using a Customer × Business × Medium fit check
  • Validating paid loops with unit economics (LTV, CAC, payback) gating
  • Producing an actionable loop plan: loop map → scorecard → experiments → measurement
When to use
  • “Design a growth loop / viral loop / referral loop”
  • “Create a growth flywheel for <product>
  • “Map our micro + macro growth loops and prioritize which to build”
  • “We need new growth loops (not just optimize ads/onboarding)”
  • “Decide whether a paid acquisition loop is viable”
When NOT to use
  • You haven’t clarified the ICP/problem or value proposition (use
    problem-definition
    ).
  • You’re still establishing PMF and need a PMF signal set (use
    measuring-product-market-fit
    ).
  • You only need an experiment list/prioritization, not loop design (use
    prioritizing-roadmap
    ).
  • You’re making a one-way-door launch decision (use
    shipping-products
    /
    running-decision-processes
    ).
涵盖内容
  • 将增长目标转化为基于循环的增长模型(微循环 + 宏循环)
  • 设计并记录各类循环:病毒式/推荐式内容/用户生成内容(UGC)SEO合作伙伴/集成销售辅助以及付费获客循环
  • 通过客户×业务×媒介适配性检查选择渠道
  • 用**单位经济效益(LTV、CAC、投资回收期)**门槛验证付费循环的可行性
  • 生成可执行的循环计划:循环图谱 → 评分卡 → 实验 → 衡量
适用场景
  • “设计增长循环/病毒循环/推荐循环”
  • “为<产品>创建增长飞轮”
  • “梳理我们的微+宏增长循环并确定优先构建的对象”
  • “我们需要新的增长循环(而不仅仅是优化广告/用户引导)”
  • “判断付费获客循环是否可行”
不适用场景
  • 尚未明确理想客户画像(ICP)/核心问题或价值主张(请使用
    problem-definition
    )。
  • 仍在验证产品市场契合度(PMF)并需要PMF信号集(请使用
    measuring-product-market-fit
    )。
  • 仅需要实验列表/优先级排序,不需要循环设计(请使用
    prioritizing-roadmap
    )。
  • 正在做单向决策的发布决定(请使用
    shipping-products
    /
    running-decision-processes
    )。

Inputs

输入要求

Minimum required
  • Product + target user/ICP (and 1–2 key segments)
  • Current stage (pre-PMF / early PMF / growth / mature) and current primary growth channel(s)
  • The core value moment (what users do when they “get value”)
  • A baseline snapshot of the growth system (best available): acquisition sources, conversion funnel, retention/engagement, referrals/sharing
  • Constraints: budget, timebox, brand/safety, platform policy, legal/privacy, engineering capacity
  • For paid loops: rough unit economics (LTV, gross margin, CAC/payback targets) or a proxy
Missing-info strategy
  • Ask up to 5 questions from references/INTAKE.md, then proceed.
  • If data is missing, proceed with explicit assumptions and label confidence.
  • Do not request secrets or PII; prefer aggregated metrics or redacted excerpts.
最低要求
  • 产品 + 目标用户/理想客户画像(ICP)(以及1–2个关键细分群体)
  • 当前阶段(PMF前 / 早期PMF / 增长期 / 成熟期)和当前主要增长渠道
  • 核心价值时刻(用户“感知到价值”时的行为)
  • 增长系统的基准快照(现有最佳数据):获客来源、转化漏斗、留存/参与度、推荐/分享数据
  • 约束条件:预算、时间限制、品牌/安全要求、平台政策、法律/隐私规定、工程资源
  • 对于付费循环:大致的单位经济效益(LTV、毛利率、CAC/投资回收期目标)或替代指标
缺失信息处理策略
  • 从[references/INTAKE.md]中提出最多5个问题,然后继续推进。
  • 如果数据缺失,基于明确的假设推进,并标注置信度。
  • 不得索要机密信息或个人可识别信息(PII);优先使用汇总指标或编辑后的摘录。

Outputs (deliverables)

输出成果(交付物)

Produce a Growth Loop Design Pack (Markdown in-chat; or as files if requested) containing:
  1. Context snapshot (goal, ICP/segments, constraints, timebox)
  2. Loop inventory + baseline (current loops and where the system currently gets growth)
  3. Loop map (qualitative model) (micro loops + macro loop; how loops connect)
  4. Loop candidates + mechanism library (platform/channel mechanisms; ethical/policy-compliant)
  5. Loop scorecard + selection (top 1–2 loops to build/scale; optimize vs innovate recommendation)
  6. Measurement plan (loop KPIs, leading indicators, required instrumentation)
  7. Experiment backlog + 30/60/90 plan (tests, sequencing, dependencies, owners if known)
  8. Risks / Open questions / Next steps (always included)
Templates and checklists:
  • references/TEMPLATES.md
  • references/CHECKLISTS.md
  • references/RUBRIC.md
  • Expanded guidance: references/WORKFLOW.md
生成增长循环设计包(聊天内Markdown格式;或按需提供文件形式),包含:
  1. 背景快照(目标、ICP/细分群体、约束条件、时间限制)
  2. 循环清单 + 基准数据(现有循环以及当前增长系统的增长来源)
  3. 循环图谱(定性模型)(微循环 + 宏循环;各循环的关联方式)
  4. 循环候选方案 + 机制库(平台/渠道机制;符合伦理/政策要求)
  5. 循环评分卡 + 筛选结果(优先构建/规模化的1–2个循环;优化vs创新建议)
  6. 衡量计划(循环KPI、领先指标、所需埋点)
  7. 实验待办清单 + 30/60/90计划(测试内容、执行顺序、依赖项、已知负责人)
  8. 风险 / 待解决问题 / 下一步行动(必须包含)
模板和检查清单:
  • [references/TEMPLATES.md]
  • [references/CHECKLISTS.md]
  • [references/RUBRIC.md]
  • 扩展指南:[references/WORKFLOW.md]

Workflow (7 steps)

工作流程(7个步骤)

1) Intake + growth goal framing

1) 需求收集 + 增长目标梳理

  • Inputs: User context; references/INTAKE.md.
  • Actions: Clarify the growth goal (what metric, by when), the target segment(s), and constraints (budget, brand, platform rules, capacity). Decide whether the priority is innovation (new loop) vs optimization (existing loop).
  • Outputs: Context snapshot + “decision this work informs.”
  • Checks: A stakeholder can answer: “Which metric changes by when, and what will we do differently if it doesn’t?”
  • Inputs: 用户背景;[references/INTAKE.md]。
  • Actions: 明确增长目标(哪个指标、在何时达成)、目标细分群体以及约束条件(预算、品牌、平台规则、资源)。确定工作优先级是创新(新循环)vs 优化(现有循环)。
  • Outputs: 背景快照 + “本次工作要支撑的决策”。
  • Checks: 利益相关者能够回答:“哪个指标会在何时发生变化,如果未达成我们会采取什么不同的行动?”

2) Baseline the current growth system (loops + funnel)

2) 梳理当前增长系统的基准(循环 + 漏斗)

  • Inputs: Current acquisition sources, funnel, retention, referral/share, unit economics (if any).
  • Actions: Inventory existing loops (even if weak). Identify the core value moment and the “loop output” that could feed back (invites, content, word-of-mouth, spend, integrations).
  • Outputs: Loop inventory + baseline table.
  • Checks: Baseline includes at least one number for each: acquisition volume, activation rate, retention/engagement proxy.
  • Inputs: 当前获客来源、转化漏斗、留存、推荐/分享数据、单位经济效益(如有)。
  • Actions: 盘点现有循环(即使效果不佳)。确定核心价值时刻以及可反馈的“循环输出”(邀请、内容、口碑、投入、集成)。
  • Outputs: 循环清单 + 基准数据表。
  • Checks: 基准数据至少包含以下各一项数据:获客量、激活率、留存/参与度替代指标。

3) Generate loop candidates (micro + macro)

3) 生成循环候选方案(微循环 + 宏循环)

  • Inputs: Baseline + constraints.
  • Actions: Create 6–10 loop hypotheses across categories (viral/referral, content/UGC, SEO, partner/integration, sales, paid). For each, specify: input → action → output → feedback. Include at least one “bigger bet” loop if in a fast-moving category.
  • Outputs: Loop candidates list + draft mechanism library.
  • Checks: Each candidate has a plausible “self-reinforcing” feedback path and a likely cycle time.
  • Inputs: 基准数据 + 约束条件。
  • Actions: 跨类别生成6–10个循环假设(病毒式/推荐式、内容/UGC、SEO、合作伙伴/集成、销售、付费)。针对每个假设,明确:输入 → 行动 → 输出 → 反馈。如果处于快速变化的领域,至少包含一个“更大胆的赌注”循环。
  • Outputs: 循环候选方案列表 + 机制库草稿。
  • Checks: 每个候选方案都有合理的“自我强化”反馈路径和预期周期。

4) Model loops qualitatively (shared understanding)

4) 定性建模循环(达成共识)

  • Inputs: Loop candidates; stakeholder context.
  • Actions: Produce a qualitative loop map: micro loops connected into a macro loop. Document assumptions, bottlenecks, and where you expect compounding.
  • Outputs: Loop map (diagram or table) + bottleneck hypotheses.
  • Checks: Someone unfamiliar with the product can explain “how we grow” in 60 seconds using the map.
  • Inputs: 循环候选方案;利益相关者背景。
  • Actions: 生成定性的循环图谱:将微循环连接成宏循环。记录假设、瓶颈以及预期产生复利效应的环节。
  • Outputs: 循环图谱(图表或表格) + 瓶颈假设。
  • Checks: 不熟悉该产品的人可以用60秒时间通过图谱解释“我们如何实现增长”。

5) Quantify + prioritize (scorecard + gates)

5) 量化 + 优先级排序(评分卡 + 门槛)

  • Inputs: Qual loop map; best-available metrics.
  • Actions: Estimate loop throughput with simple math (conversion × frequency × invites/content × acceptance). Score loops using a scorecard (impact, confidence, effort, cycle time). Apply gates:
    • Paid loops: only proceed if LTV/margin supports CAC/payback targets.
    • Channel fit: ensure Customer × Business × Medium alignment.
  • Outputs: Loop scorecard + top 1–2 loop picks + innovate/optimize split recommendation.
  • Checks: Each chosen loop has (a) a measurable KPI, (b) a first experiment, and (c) a reason it wins vs alternatives.
  • Inputs: 定性循环图谱;现有最佳指标。
  • Actions: 用简单的数学计算(转化率 × 频率 × 邀请/内容 × 接受率)估算循环吞吐量。使用评分卡(影响力、置信度、投入成本、周期)对循环打分。应用门槛:
    • 付费循环: 仅当LTV/毛利率支持CAC/投资回收期目标时才推进。
    • 渠道适配性: 确保客户×业务×媒介的对齐。
  • Outputs: 循环评分卡 + 优先选择的1–2个循环 + 创新/优化分配建议。
  • Checks: 每个选中的循环都具备(a)可衡量的KPI,(b)首个实验,(c)相较于其他方案的胜出理由。

6) Design the measurement plan (metrics + instrumentation)

6) 设计衡量计划(指标 + 埋点)

  • Inputs: Selected loop(s).
  • Actions: Define loop KPIs and leading indicators; specify required events/properties and dashboards. Identify instrumentation gaps and the minimum tracking needed to learn.
  • Outputs: Measurement + instrumentation plan.
  • Checks: Every experiment metric is traceable to an event definition and a data source.
  • Inputs: 选中的循环。
  • Actions: 定义循环KPI和领先指标;明确所需的事件/属性和仪表盘。识别埋点缺口以及学习所需的最低跟踪要求。
  • Outputs: 衡量 + 埋点计划。
  • Checks: 每个实验指标都可追溯到事件定义和数据源。

7) Build the experiment plan + quality gate

7) 制定实验计划 + 质量校验

  • Inputs: Draft pack; references/CHECKLISTS.md and references/RUBRIC.md.
  • Actions: Create an experiment backlog and 30/60/90 plan (sequencing, dependencies, owners if known). Run the checklist and score with the rubric. Always include Risks / Open questions / Next steps.
  • Outputs: Final Growth Loop Design Pack.
  • Checks: Next 2 weeks of work are unblocked and measurable; risks include policy/ethics considerations.
  • Inputs: 设计包草稿;[references/CHECKLISTS.md]和[references/RUBRIC.md]。
  • Actions: 创建实验待办清单和30/60/90计划(执行顺序、依赖项、已知负责人)。对照检查清单并使用评分卡打分。必须包含风险 / 待解决问题 / 下一步行动
  • Outputs: 最终增长循环设计包。
  • Checks: 未来2周的工作无阻塞且可衡量;风险包含政策/伦理考量。

Quality gate (required)

质量校验(必填)

  • Use references/CHECKLISTS.md and references/RUBRIC.md.
  • Always include: Risks, Open questions, Next steps.
  • 使用[references/CHECKLISTS.md]和[references/RUBRIC.md]。
  • 必须包含:风险待解决问题下一步行动

Examples

示例

Example 1 (B2B SaaS, partner/integration loop):
“Use
designing-growth-loops
. Product: AI onboarding assistant for mid-market HR teams. Goal: +30% WAU in 90 days. Channels today: outbound + partnerships. Output: a Growth Loop Design Pack with an integration/partner loop and a referral loop, including metrics and a 30/60/90 experiment plan.”
Example 2 (B2C, viral/content loop):
“We’re building a mobile photo editor for creators. Goal: grow from 20k to 60k MAU in 8 weeks. Output a loop map, a mechanism library for Instagram/TikTok sharing, and a prioritized experiment backlog.”
Boundary example (not a loop problem):
“Write copy for our landing page headline.”
Response: this is primarily copywriting/positioning, not loop design; clarify the goal and use
copywriting
or a messaging skill instead.
示例1(B2B SaaS,合作伙伴/集成循环):
“使用
designing-growth-loops
。产品:面向中端市场HR团队的AI入职助手。目标:90天内周活跃用户(WAU)增长30%。当前渠道: outbound + 合作伙伴。输出:包含集成/合作伙伴循环和推荐循环的增长循环设计包,附带指标和30/60/90实验计划。”
示例2(B2C,病毒式/内容循环):
“我们正在为创作者打造一款移动端照片编辑器。目标:8周内将月活跃用户(MAU)从2万增长到6万。输出循环图谱、适用于Instagram/TikTok分享的机制库,以及优先级排序的实验待办清单。”
边界示例(非循环问题):
“为我们的着陆页标题撰写文案。”
回应:这主要是文案撰写/定位工作,而非循环设计;请明确目标并使用
copywriting
或相关的文案技能。