development-estimation
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Original
English🇨🇳
Translation
ChineseDevelopment Estimation
开发估算
Overview
概述
Create consistent, defensible estimates by breaking scope into components, identifying risks, and providing confidence intervals.
通过将范围拆解为组件、识别风险并提供置信区间，创建一致且有依据的估算结果。
When to Use
使用场景
- Estimating feature or project scope
- Providing effort or complexity estimates
- Delivering risk-aware breakdowns
Avoid when:
- The task is trivial or a rough gut-check is sufficient
- Requirements are unknown and need discovery first
- 估算功能或项目范围
- 提供工作量或复杂度估算
- 交付包含风险的分解估算结果
避免使用场景：
- 任务琐碎或仅需粗略判断时
- 需求尚不明确，需先进行需求探索时
Quick Reference
快速参考
| Task | Load reference |
|---|---|
| Estimation workflow | |
| 任务 | 参考文档路径 |
|---|---|
| 估算工作流 | |
Workflow
工作流
- Define scope and estimation type (time/effort/complexity).
- Load the estimation reference for structure.
- Break into components and dependencies.
- Add risks and confidence intervals.
- Deliver estimate with assumptions.
- 定义范围及估算类型（时间/工作量/复杂度）。
- 加载估算参考文档获取结构化框架。
- 拆解为组件及依赖项。
- 添加风险及置信区间。
- 交付包含假设条件的估算结果。
Output
输出结果
- Estimate with breakdown and confidence interval
- Assumptions, risks, and validation notes
- 包含分解项和置信区间的估算结果
- 假设条件、风险及验证说明
Common Mistakes
常见误区
- Estimating without clear scope
- Ignoring risk and dependency factors
- Overstating precision beyond available data
- 在范围不明确的情况下进行估算
- 忽略风险和依赖因素
- 超出可用数据支撑的精度进行估算