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mental-model-evaluator

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Chinese

Mental Model Evaluator

心智模型评估器（Mental Model Evaluator）

"Measure twice, cut once."
Before making major architectural decisions, writing a massive feature, or executing a high-stakes trade plan, this skill forces a pause and runs the proposed plan through established cognitive mental models.
"三思而后行。"
在做出重大架构决策、编写大型功能或执行高风险交易计划之前，该技能会强制暂停，并将拟议计划通过成熟的认知心智模型进行检验。

Core Mental Models

核心心智模型

  1. Inversion: "How could this plan completely fail?" Works backwards to identify guaranteed failure states and ensures the plan mitigates them.
  2. First Principles Thinking: Strips the plan down to fundamental truths. Are we building on an assumption, or an undeniable fact?
  3. Second-Order Effects: "And then what?" Evaluates the downstream consequences of the decision beyond the immediate payoff.
  4. Buffett's Moat Analysis: Does this feature/trade provide a sustainable, defensible advantage, or is it easily replicated noise?
  1. Inversion（反向思考）： "这个计划可能会如何彻底失败？" 通过逆向推导识别必然失败的状态，并确保计划能规避这些风险。
  2. First Principles Thinking（第一性原理思维）： 将计划拆解至最基础的事实层面。我们是基于假设构建，还是基于无可辩驳的事实？
  3. Second-Order Effects（二阶效应）： "接下来会发生什么？" 评估决策在即时收益之外的后续连锁反应。
  4. Buffett's Moat Analysis（巴菲特护城河分析）： 该功能/交易是否能提供可持续、可防御的优势，还是只是容易被复制的无用内容？

Usage

使用方法

When activated (Trigger phrases: "Evaluate this model", "Run the mental models", "Stress test this idea"):
  1. Read the user's proposed plan or idea.
  2. Output a structured markdown report that addresses the plan through the lens of at least 3 of the mental models above.
  3. Conclude with a final 
    PASS
    , 
    REVISE
    , or 
    REJECT
    verdict.
激活时（触发短语："Evaluate this model"、"Run the mental models"、"Stress test this idea"）：
  1. 读取用户提出的计划或想法。
  2. 输出一份结构化Markdown报告，通过上述至少3种心智模型的视角分析该计划。
  3. 最后给出
    PASS
    （通过）、
    REVISE
    （修订）或
    REJECT
    （否决）的最终结论。