longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer

Response language: detect the user's input language (Simplified Chinese / Traditional Chinese / English) and render the entire report — every card, label, narrative paragraph, education block, appendix row, and disclaimer — in that one language. Do not mix languages within a single output. The output template in

references/output.md

is shown in English for reference; translate it as a whole into the user's language using the label-translation lookup in that file. The error/source tables inside this SKILL.md remain 3-column because they document what the skill says under each language — that 3-column form is for the skill's reference docs, not for the user-facing report.

• "帮我找几只巴菲特会买的股票" / "幫我找幾隻巴菲特會買的股票" / "find a few stocks Buffett would buy"
• "消费股里巴菲特风格的有哪些" / "消費股裡巴菲特風格的有哪些" / "which consumer names are Buffett-style"
• "我想找一只 10 年都不用动的股票" / "我想找一隻 10 年都不用動的股票" / "I want a 10-year-hold stock"
• "有没有类似茅台这种定价权强的公司" / "有沒有類似茅台這種定價權強的公司" / "any companies like Moutai with strong pricing power"
• "新能源里有没有符合巴菲特标准的" / "新能源裡有沒有符合巴菲特標準的" / "any new-energy names that meet Buffett's criteria"
• "ROE 连续 10 年超过 20%、PE 低于 25 的 A 股" / "ROE 連續 10 年超過 20%、PE 低於 25 的 A 股" / "A-shares with 10y ROE > 20% and PE < 25"
• "美股里巴菲特真实持仓过的股票" / "美股裡巴菲特真實持倉過的股票" / "US stocks Buffett has actually held"

longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer

longbridge-graham-screener

longbridge-value-screen

longbridge-dividend-screen

longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer

1. Holding-period expectation — Buffett's reference is "ideally forever, at minimum 3 years." If the user's capital horizon is < 3 years, warn that this framework is the wrong lens regardless of how clean the screen looks.
2. Quality first, price second — "A great business at a fair price is far better than a fair business at a great price." A passing row tells the user the business is Buffett-grade; whether this price is sane is a Dimension-4 (valuation) check that may downgrade the verdict to "watch and wait for a better price". Never collapse quality and price into one number.

• "Great business, wait for price" → quality passes but valuation 偏贵 / 高估 → 🟡 watchlist with target-price band, not a buy.
• "Cheap but no moat" → low PE/PB but moat narrow or absent → not a Buffett candidate; redirect to

  longbridge-graham-screener

  /

  longbridge-graham-stock-analysis

  .
• Sector-disqualified industries (e.g. airlines — Buffett publicly called the industry "value-destroying") → return an honest empty result with redirect to a closer-to-Buffett sector, not a forced top-N.

1. Clarify the query in at most one quick turn. Three input shapes are supported (see §3.2 of the design doc):
   • Preference-based (most common): "find me consumer stocks worth long-term holding".
   • Sector / theme-based: "Buffett-style names in new energy" / "Buffett's actual US holdings".
   • Condition-based (advanced): "A-shares with 10y ROE > 20% and PE < 25". If the user just says "recommend stocks" with no constraint, ask 1–2 framing questions (preferred market: A / HK / US? prefer steady — consumer/healthcare/financials — or growth — tech/new-energy?) before screening.
2. Resolve the universe:
   • Sector / theme query → start from the index or sector universe via

     longbridge constituent <INDEX>

     or

     longbridge sector-screener

     candidate list.
   • Preference / condition query without a stated market → default to the market the user most often references (A-share if Mandarin / Cantonese trader signal, US for English, HK if the user mentioned 港股). Echo the chosen universe back in the Market Summary.
   • Cap batch size at 300 names per screen.
3. Sector triage — before any filter:
   • Excluded (no scoring, drop with a one-line explanation in the Market Summary): airlines (Buffett: "value-destroying"), pre-revenue / pure-loss biotech (no track record), ST / 退市风险 names, listed < 5 years, pure-shell / negative-equity. If the user explicitly asked for one of these (e.g. "Buffett-style airline"), return an honest empty result with a redirect to the most-similar non-excluded sector (e.g. "consumer staples with pricing power" or "regulated utilities with stable returns").
   • Sector-adjusted hard filter: banks / insurance / brokerage — replace FCF / leverage rules with ROA / NIM / NPL / CAR (note the substitution per row).
   • Listed 5–10 years: pro-rate the earnings-stability sub-score and flag "history-limited" in the row note.
4. Fetch raw data via Longbridge CLI first (parallel, ≤20 symbols per wave). See §CLI. MCP fallback if

   longbridge

   is missing (see §MCP fallback). WebSearch only for items genuinely outside Longbridge: industry outlook / disruption signals, brand-strength surveys, Buffett's own 13F holdings disclosure, qualitative management track record. Every WebSearch hit gets a publisher + URL + access-date row in the appendix.
5. Layer 1 — Hard quantitative filter (binary pass/fail). Symbols failing ≥ 2 filters drop out by default. See §Filters for the table; full thresholds in

   references/criteria.md

   .
6. Per-row reconciliation gate: if balance-sheet sum / current-assets sum / shares×price mismatches the reported total by >3%, drop the row from the leaderboard with a "数据异常" note in the data-anomaly footer. Do not silently smooth.
7. Layer 2 — Qualitative moat scoring on every name that passed Layer 1 plus reconciliation. Five-dimension weighted composite (0–100):
   • Moat type & width (35%) · Capital allocation (20%) · Earnings predictability (20%) · Valuation reasonableness (15%) · Long-term industry runway (10%). Full rubric in

     references/criteria.md

     . Each dimension also gets a 1–5 star rating shown on the candidate card.
8. Verdict matrix — combine Layer 2 quality stars (moat + financials) with valuation tier. See

   references/criteria.md

   §Verdict matrix. Maps to one of three card verdicts:
   • 🟢 大概率会买 / Likely buy — wide moat + clean financials + price 充足/一般.
   • 🟡 可能会考虑 / Maybe — wait for price — wide moat + clean financials + price 偏贵.
   • 🔴 目前估值不合适 / Not at this price — wide moat but price 高估, OR moat narrow at any price (redirect to Graham).
9. Holding-period mapping — derive expected min hold from moat width (★★★★★ → 5y+, ★★★★ → 3–5y, ★★★ → 1–3y, ★★ or below → not a Buffett candidate). See

   references/criteria.md

   .
10. Rank and emit 3–5 candidate cards (not a giant leaderboard — the design doc's deliberate cap). Follow the candidate-card template in

    references/output.md

    .
11. Mandatory closing blocks (every output, no exceptions):
    • Selection rationale (2–3 sentences on why these names, current market caveat, deep-dive priority).
    • Holding-period & user-education block (Buffett-style vs short-term expectations table — rendered in the user's language only).
    • Data Source Appendix — every figure on every card traceable; every WebSearch row carries publisher + URL + date.
    • Trilingual disclaimer from

      references/output.md

      .
12. Deep-dive CTA on every card, rendered in the user's input language only (e.g. "Deep-dive → run

    longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer <CODE>

    " for English, "深度诊断 → 运行

    longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer <CODE>

    " for 简体, "深度診斷 → 執行

    longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer <CODE>

    " for 繁體). Pick one.

references/output.md

Name (Code) · Market · Sector              Quality stars: ★★★★★
Moat type: {brand / network / cost / switching / regulatory / resource}
Top-3 highlights (quantitative first): {ROE x%}, {Gross margin x%}, {FCF / capex intensity}
Buffett verdict: 🟢 大概率会买 / 🟡 可能会考虑 / 🔴 目前估值不合适
Valuation read: {充足 / 一般 / 偏贵 / 高估} — current price vs 10y band
Min. holding period: {5y+ / 3–5y / 1–3y}
[深度诊断这只股票 → longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer <CODE>]

1. Selection rationale — 2–3 sentences on (a) why these names together, (b) market caveats right now, (c) which one to deep-dive first.
2. Holding-period & user-education block — single-language table (in the user's input language) comparing Buffett-style expectations vs short-term/speculative expectations (holding time / entry pattern / drawdown tolerance / position logic / action frequency).
3. Data Source Appendix (MANDATORY) — every field on every card, every Longbridge endpoint hit, every WebSearch hit (publisher + URL + access date). The final line is a per-row reconciliation summary (clean pass / within-tolerance residuals / per-row drops).
4. Disclaimer — disclaimer variant matching the user's input language only, picked from

   references/output.md

   §Disclaimer variants. Never print multiple language variants.

• Single-stock Buffett deep diagnostic →

  longbridge-buffett-moat-analyzer

  (the natural next step from every card)
• Graham cigar-butt screener →

  longbridge-graham-screener

• Graham single-stock view →

  longbridge-graham-stock-analysis

• Broader value (PE / PB / ROE) screen →

  longbridge-value-screen

• High-dividend screen →

  longbridge-dividend-screen

• DCF intrinsic value →

  longbridge-dcf

• Industry runway / sector view →

  longbridge-industry-overview

• Method selection guide →

  longbridge-valuation-methodology