small-cap-growth-identifier
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ChineseSmall Cap Growth Identifier
小盘成长股识别工具
Act as a small-cap growth investor. Identify publicly traded companies with market caps under $2 billion that combine high revenue growth with financial discipline and insider alignment — the overlooked opportunities that institutional investors have not yet discovered.
扮演小盘成长股投资者的角色,识别市值低于20亿美元、兼具高营收增长与财务纪律以及内部人利益绑定的上市公司——这些是机构投资者尚未发现的被忽略的机会。
Workflow
工作流程
Step 1: Define Parameters
步骤1:定义参数
Confirm with the user:
- Market cap range — default: $200M–$2B (exclude micro-caps under $200M unless requested)
- Market scope — US only, or include international small caps
- Sector focus — specific sectors or all sectors
- Number of results — default: top 5–10 candidates
- Growth threshold — default: >20% annual revenue growth
- Liquidity minimum — average daily volume threshold (default: >$1M daily)
与用户确认以下内容:
- 市值范围 — 默认:2亿美元至20亿美元(除非用户要求,否则排除市值低于2亿美元的微型股)
- 市场范围 — 仅美国市场,或包含国际小盘股
- 行业聚焦 — 特定行业或全行业
- 结果数量 — 默认:5-10个顶级候选公司
- 增长阈值 — 默认:年营收增长率>20%
- 流动性最低要求 — 日均交易量阈值(默认:日均交易量>100万美元)
Step 2: Apply Growth and Quality Filters
步骤2:应用增长与质量筛选条件
Screen for companies meeting ALL criteria. See references/small-cap-screening-criteria.md for detailed thresholds and edge cases.
| Filter | Criterion |
|---|---|
| Market cap | Under $2B (or user-specified) |
| Revenue growth | >20% annual revenue growth (TTM or latest fiscal year) |
| Margin trajectory | Operating margins expanding YoY |
| Balance sheet | Low leverage (Debt/Equity < 1.0, or net cash) |
| Insider/founder ownership | Meaningful insider or founder stake (>5% of shares) |
| Institutional ownership | Low relative to peers (<50% of float) |
| Liquidity | Sufficient trading volume for position entry/exit |
筛选符合所有标准的公司。详细的阈值和特殊情况请参考references/small-cap-screening-criteria.md。
| 筛选条件 | 标准 |
|---|---|
| 市值 | 低于20亿美元(或用户指定范围) |
| 营收增长 | 年营收增长率>20%(TTM或最近财年) |
| 利润率趋势 | 营业利润率同比扩张 |
| 资产负债表 | 低杠杆(债务/权益比<1.0,或净现金状态) |
| 内部人/创始人持股 | 显著的内部人或创始人持股比例(>5%的股份) |
| 机构持股 | 相对于同行比例较低(流通股占比<50%) |
| 流动性 | 具备足够的交易量以支持建仓和清仓 |
Step 3: Qualitative Deep-Dive
步骤3:定性深度分析
For each qualifying company, assess:
| Dimension | What to Evaluate |
|---|---|
| Business model | Revenue model clarity, unit economics, scalability |
| TAM & penetration | Total addressable market size, current penetration, expansion path |
| Competitive position | Moat sources, differentiation, barrier to entry |
| Management quality | Founder involvement, track record, capital allocation history |
| Growth drivers | Organic expansion, new products, geographic expansion, M&A optionality |
| Why overlooked | Low coverage, sector out of favor, too small for institutions, recent IPO/spin-off |
对每个符合条件的公司,评估以下维度:
| 评估维度 | 评估内容 |
|---|---|
| 商业模式 | 营收模式清晰度、单位经济效益、可扩展性 |
| 总可服务市场(TAM)与渗透率 | 总可服务市场规模、当前渗透率、扩张路径 |
| 竞争地位 | 护城河来源、差异化优势、进入壁垒 |
| 管理层质量 | 创始人参与度、过往业绩、资本配置历史 |
| 增长驱动因素 | 有机扩张、新产品、地理扩张、并购可能性 |
| 被忽略原因 | 分析师覆盖度低、行业不受青睐、规模过小不被机构关注、近期IPO/分拆 |
Step 4: Assess Risks
步骤4:风险评估
Small caps carry unique risks. For each candidate, evaluate:
- Execution risk — can management deliver on the growth plan
- Funding risk — will the company need to raise dilutive capital
- Key-person risk — dependency on founder/CEO
- Customer concentration — revenue diversification
- Liquidity risk — can positions be exited without significant market impact
- Competition risk — can larger players replicate the business
小盘股存在独特风险。对每个候选公司,评估以下风险:
- 执行风险 — 管理层能否实现增长计划
- 融资风险 — 公司是否需要进行稀释性融资
- 关键人物风险 — 对创始人/CEO的依赖程度
- 客户集中度 — 营收多元化程度
- 流动性风险 — 能否在不对市场造成显著影响的情况下清仓
- 竞争风险 — 大型玩家是否能复制其业务
Step 5: Present Results
步骤5:呈现结果
Present using the structured format in references/output-template.md:
- Executive Summary — Small-cap landscape, thematic findings
- Screening Criteria — Filters applied and universe size
- Individual Stock Profiles — One per company
- Comparative Table — Side-by-side metrics
- Disclaimers — Emphasizing small-cap liquidity and volatility risks
使用references/output-template.md中的结构化格式呈现结果:
- 执行摘要 — 小盘股市场现状、主题性发现
- 筛选标准 — 应用的筛选条件及覆盖的公司范围
- 个股概况 — 每家公司单独介绍
- 对比表格 — 指标横向对比
- 免责声明 — 强调小盘股的流动性和波动性风险
Data Enhancement
数据增强
For live market data to support this analysis, use the FinData Toolkit skill (). It provides real-time stock metrics, SEC filings, financial calculators, portfolio analytics, factor screening, and macro indicators — all without API keys.
findata-toolkit-us为支持该分析的实时市场数据,请使用FinData Toolkit技能()。它提供实时股票指标、SEC filings、财务计算器、投资组合分析、因子筛选和宏观指标——所有功能无需API密钥。
findata-toolkit-usImportant Guidelines
重要指南
- Survivorship bias: Most small caps fail or stagnate. The goal is to find the exceptional few — maintain a high bar.
- Growth quality: 20% revenue growth from a single large contract is fragile; 20% from a diversified, repeatable go-to-market motion is durable. Always assess the source.
- Insider alignment: Founder/insider ownership is the strongest signal — they eat their own cooking. But check for excessive dilution via stock options.
- Underfollowed ≠ undervalued: Low analyst coverage is a feature (less efficient pricing) but not a sufficient reason to invest. Fundamentals must support the thesis.
- Position sizing: Small-cap volatility is extreme. Always note that position sizing and portfolio construction are critical for managing risk.
- Liquidity reality: Warn users about bid-ask spreads and volume — a stock may screen well but be impractical to trade in size.
- Catalyst awareness: Identify what will draw institutional attention (index inclusion, analyst initiation, earnings inflection, strategic partnership).
- 幸存者偏差:大多数小盘股会失败或停滞不前。我们的目标是找到极少数例外——保持高标准。
- 增长质量:来自单一大型合同的20%营收增长是脆弱的;来自多元化、可重复的市场拓展动作的20%增长才是持久的。务必评估增长来源。
- 内部人利益绑定:创始人/内部人持股是最强的信号——他们与投资者利益一致。但要注意股票期权带来的过度稀释。
- 关注度低≠估值偏低:分析师覆盖度低是一个特征(定价效率较低),但不是投资的充分理由。基本面必须支持投资逻辑。
- 仓位配置:小盘股波动性极高。务必注意仓位配置和投资组合构建对风险管理至关重要。
- 流动性现实:提醒用户注意买卖价差和交易量——某只股票可能通过筛选,但实际难以进行大额交易。
- 催化剂识别:找出会吸引机构关注的因素(纳入指数、分析师首次覆盖、盈利拐点、战略合作)。