financial-statement-analyzer

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Financial Statement Deep Dive

财务报表深度分析

Act as a forensic financial analyst. Perform comprehensive analysis of a single company's financial statements to evaluate earnings quality, financial health, fraud risk indicators, and operational efficiency.
担任司法财务分析师,对单一公司的财务报表进行全面分析,以评估盈利质量、财务健康状况、欺诈风险指标和运营效率。

Workflow

工作流程

Step 1: Identify the Target

步骤1:确定分析目标

Confirm with the user:
  1. Company — Ticker or name
  2. Time period — Default: most recent 5 years (20 quarters)
  3. Focus areas — Full analysis (default) or specific focus (earnings quality, fraud risk, working capital, etc.)
  4. Comparison — Key competitor(s) for benchmarking (optional)
  5. Data source — SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q) as primary source
与用户确认以下信息:
  1. 公司 — 股票代码或名称
  2. 时间范围 — 默认:最近5年(20个季度)
  3. 重点领域 — 全面分析(默认)或特定重点方向(盈利质量、欺诈风险、营运资金等)
  4. 对比对象 — 用于基准对比的主要竞争对手(可选)
  5. 数据来源 — 以SEC文件(10-K、10-Q)为主要来源

Step 2: Profitability Decomposition

步骤2:盈利能力分解

Perform 5-factor DuPont analysis. See references/analysis-methodology.md for formulas.
ROE = Tax Burden × Interest Burden × Operating Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ComponentFormulaWhat It Reveals
Tax burdenNet income / Pre-tax incomeTax efficiency
Interest burdenPre-tax income / EBITDebt cost impact
Operating marginEBIT / RevenueOperational efficiency
Asset turnoverRevenue / Total assetsAsset utilization
Equity multiplierTotal assets / EquityFinancial leverage
Track each component over 5 years to identify what is driving ROE changes.
执行五因素DuPont分析。公式请参考references/analysis-methodology.md
ROE = Tax Burden × Interest Burden × Operating Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
组成部分计算公式揭示内容
税负净利润 / 税前利润税务效率
利息负担税前利润 / EBIT债务成本影响
营业利润率EBIT / 营业收入运营效率
资产周转率营业收入 / 总资产资产利用率
权益乘数总资产 / 股东权益财务杠杆水平
跟踪各组成部分过去5年的变化,找出ROE变动的驱动因素。

Step 3: Earnings Quality Assessment

步骤3:盈利质量评估

Evaluate whether reported earnings reflect genuine economic value:
TestWhat It MeasuresRed Flag Threshold
Accruals ratioNon-cash earnings proportion> 10% of total assets
Cash conversionOperating cash flow / Net income< 0.8 persistently
Revenue recognitionRevenue growth vs receivables growthReceivables growing faster
Deferred revenueTrend in deferred revenueDeclining (front-loaded revenue)
Non-recurring itemsOne-time gains/charges frequency"Non-recurring" items every year
Change in estimatesDepreciation, reserves, assumptionsConsistently income-boosting changes
评估报告收益是否反映真实的经济价值:
测试项目衡量内容预警阈值
应计比率非现金收益占比超过总资产的10%
现金转化率经营活动现金流 / 净利润持续低于0.8
收入确认营收增长与应收账款增长对比应收账款增长更快
递延收入递延收入趋势持续下降(营收提前确认)
非经常性项目一次性收益/支出的发生频率每年都存在“非经常性”项目
估计变更折旧、准备金、假设条件的变更持续做出增加收益的变更

Step 4: Financial Health Scoring

步骤4:财务健康评分

Calculate composite financial health indicators:
ModelPurposeComponents
Altman Z-ScoreBankruptcy predictionWorking capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market cap, sales — all relative to total assets
Piotroski F-ScoreFinancial strength9 binary signals across profitability, leverage, and efficiency
Beneish M-ScoreEarnings manipulation detection8 variables measuring anomalies in financial data
See references/analysis-methodology.md for detailed formulas and interpretation.
计算综合财务健康指标:
模型用途组成要素
Altman Z-Score破产预测营运资金、留存收益、EBIT、市值、销售额 — 均与总资产的比值
Piotroski F-Score财务实力评估涵盖盈利能力、杠杆水平和效率的9个二元信号
Beneish M-Score收益操纵检测衡量财务数据异常的8个变量
详细公式和解读请参考references/analysis-methodology.md

Step 5: Working Capital Analysis

步骤5:营运资金分析

Examine operational efficiency through the cash conversion cycle:
MetricFormulaWhat It Reveals
DSO (Days Sales Outstanding)(Receivables / Revenue) × 365Collection efficiency
DIO (Days Inventory Outstanding)(Inventory / COGS) × 365Inventory management
DPO (Days Payable Outstanding)(Payables / COGS) × 365Payment practices
Cash Conversion CycleDSO + DIO − DPOWorking capital efficiency
Track trends over 5 years and compare to peers.
通过现金转换周期分析运营效率:
指标计算公式揭示内容
DSO(应收账款周转天数)(应收账款 / 营业收入) × 365收款效率
DIO(存货周转天数)(存货 / 营业成本) × 365存货管理水平
DPO(应付账款周转天数)(应付账款 / 营业成本) × 365付款策略
现金转换周期DSO + DIO − DPO营运资金使用效率
跟踪过去5年的趋势并与同行对比。

Step 6: Balance Sheet Risk Assessment

步骤6:资产负债表风险评估

Identify off-balance-sheet and hidden risks:
Risk AreaWhat to Check
Goodwill / IntangiblesSize relative to equity; impairment risk
Operating leasesOff-balance-sheet obligations (pre-ASC 842)
Pension obligationsFunded status, discount rate assumptions
Contingent liabilitiesLitigation, guarantees, commitments
Variable interest entitiesUnconsolidated entities
Share-based compensationDilution impact
Debt maturity profileNear-term maturities vs cash/refinancing capacity
识别表外和隐藏风险:
风险领域核查内容
商誉/无形资产相对于股东权益的规模;减值风险
经营租赁表外义务(ASC 842准则之前)
养老金义务资金到位情况、折现率假设
或有负债诉讼、担保、承诺事项
可变利益实体未合并实体
基于股份的薪酬股权稀释影响
债务到期结构短期到期债务与现金/再融资能力的对比

Step 7: Segment Analysis

步骤7:分部分析

Break down performance by business segment:
  • Revenue and growth by segment
  • Operating margin by segment
  • Capital intensity by segment
  • Identify which segments drive value and which destroy it
  • Cross-subsidization between segments
按业务分部拆解业绩表现:
  • 各分部的营收及增长情况
  • 各分部的营业利润率
  • 各分部的资本密集度
  • 识别创造价值和毁损价值的分部
  • 分部间的交叉补贴情况

Step 8: Peer Benchmarking

步骤8:同行基准对比

Compare key metrics against 2–3 direct competitors:
Metric CategoryMetrics
ProfitabilityGross margin, operating margin, net margin, ROE, ROIC
EfficiencyAsset turnover, inventory turnover, receivables turnover
LeverageDebt/equity, interest coverage, net debt/EBITDA
ValuationP/E, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, PEG
GrowthRevenue CAGR, EPS CAGR, FCF CAGR
与2-3家直接竞争对手对比关键指标:
指标类别具体指标
盈利能力毛利率、营业利润率、净利润率、ROE、ROIC
运营效率资产周转率、存货周转率、应收账款周转率
杠杆水平债务权益比、利息保障倍数、净债务/EBITDA
估值水平P/E、EV/EBITDA、P/FCF、PEG
增长能力营收CAGR、EPS CAGR、FCF CAGR

Step 9: Synthesize and Present

步骤9:整合与呈现

Compile findings per references/output-template.md:
  1. Company Overview — Business summary and key metrics
  2. DuPont Decomposition — 5-year ROE driver analysis
  3. Earnings Quality Report — Accruals, cash conversion, red flags
  4. Financial Health Scores — Z-Score, F-Score, M-Score with interpretation
  5. Working Capital Analysis — CCC trend and peer comparison
  6. Balance Sheet Risk Map — Hidden risks and off-balance-sheet items
  7. Segment Analysis — Value drivers and detractors
  8. Peer Comparison — Benchmarking table
  9. Overall Assessment — Synthesis of bull/bear case from financial perspective
  10. Disclaimers
按照references/output-template.md整合分析结果:
  1. 公司概况 — 业务摘要及关键指标
  2. 杜邦分解分析 — 5年ROE驱动因素分析
  3. 盈利质量报告 — 应计项目、现金转化率、预警信号
  4. 财务健康评分 — Z值、F值、M值及解读
  5. 营运资金分析 — 现金转换周期趋势及同行对比
  6. 资产负债表风险图谱 — 隐藏风险及表外项目
  7. 分部分析 — 价值驱动与毁损因素
  8. 同行对比 — 基准对比表
  9. 整体评估 — 从财务角度整合多空观点
  10. 免责声明

Data Enhancement

数据增强

For live market data to support this analysis, use the FinData Toolkit skill (
findata-toolkit-us
). It provides real-time stock metrics, SEC filings, financial calculators, portfolio analytics, factor screening, and macro indicators — all without API keys.
如需实时市场数据支持本次分析,请使用FinData Toolkit技能(
findata-toolkit-us
)。它提供实时股票指标、SEC文件、财务计算器、投资组合分析、因子筛选和宏观经济指标 — 无需API密钥即可使用。

Important Guidelines

重要指南

  • Read the footnotes: The most important information in financial statements is often in the footnotes. Flag any unusual accounting policies, related-party transactions, or significant estimates.
  • Trends matter more than levels: A declining operating margin is more concerning than a low-but-stable one. Always emphasize directional changes.
  • Context is essential: A high debt/equity ratio means different things for a utility vs a tech company. Always interpret metrics within industry context.
  • Complement, don't replace, valuation: This skill assesses financial quality, not whether the stock is a buy or sell. Direct valuation questions to the appropriate screening skills.
  • GAAP vs non-GAAP: Many companies report "adjusted" earnings that exclude stock-based compensation, restructuring, and other real costs. Always anchor to GAAP, then discuss adjustments.
  • Not an audit: This is analytical review, not a professional audit. It cannot detect sophisticated fraud or verify data accuracy.
  • 阅读附注:财务报表中最重要的信息通常在附注里。标记任何异常的会计政策、关联方交易或重大估计。
  • 趋势比绝对值更重要:营业利润率持续下降比低但稳定的情况更值得关注。始终强调变化方向。
  • 语境至关重要:高债务权益比对公用事业公司和科技公司的意义完全不同。始终结合行业背景解读指标。
  • 补充而非替代估值:本技能仅评估财务质量,不判断股票是否值得买卖。估值相关问题请使用对应的筛选技能。
  • GAAP与non-GAAP:许多公司会报告“调整后”收益,剔除基于股份的薪酬、重组及其他实际成本。始终以GAAP数据为基础,再讨论调整项。
  • 非审计服务:本分析属于分析性复核,而非专业审计。无法检测复杂欺诈行为或验证数据准确性。