gate-news-eventexplain
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Chinesegate-news-eventexplain
gate-news-eventexplain
The "Why is it pumping/dumping?" Skill. When the market experiences abnormal volatility and the user asks why, the system traces the event source through multi-step calls, cross-references market data to verify impact magnitude, and delivers a complete "Event → Impact Chain → Market Reaction" analysis report.
Trigger Scenarios: User expresses curiosity about a market anomaly, e.g., "why did BTC crash", "what just happened", "why did ETH suddenly spike".
用于解答「为什么涨/跌了?」的Skill。当市场出现异常波动且用户询问原因时,系统会通过多步调用追踪事件来源,交叉比对市场数据验证影响程度,输出完整的「事件 → 影响链 → 市场反应」分析报告。
触发场景:用户对市场异常表现提出疑问,例如「why did BTC crash」、「what just happened」、「why did ETH suddenly spike」。
Routing Rules
路由规则
| User Intent | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Reason for price move | "why pump" "why dump" "crash" "surge" "what caused" "what happened" | Execute this Skill's full workflow |
| General news query | "any recent news" | Route to |
| Comprehensive coin analysis | "analyze BTC for me" | Route to |
| Technical analysis | "BTC technical analysis" | Route to |
| Market overview | "how's the market" | Route to |
| 用户意图 | 关键词 | 动作 |
|---|---|---|
| 价格变动原因 | "why pump" "why dump" "crash" "surge" "what caused" "what happened" | 执行本Skill的完整工作流 |
| 通用新闻查询 | "any recent news" | 路由到 |
| 全面币种分析 | "analyze BTC for me" | 路由到 |
| 技术分析 | "BTC technical analysis" | 路由到 |
| 市场概览 | "how's the market" | 路由到 |
Execution Workflow
执行工作流
Step 1: Intent Recognition & Parameter Extraction
步骤 1:意图识别与参数提取
Extract from user input:
- : The coin involved (e.g., BTC, ETH; may be empty = overall market)
coin - : Up or down (aids search)
direction - : Time clue ("just now", "today", "yesterday"; default: past 24h)
time_hint
从用户输入中提取:
- :涉及的币种(如BTC、ETH;可为空,代表整体市场)
coin - :涨跌方向(辅助搜索)
direction - :时间线索("just now"、"today"、"yesterday";默认:过去24h)
time_hint
Step 2: Phase 1 — Event Search + Market Verification (Parallel)
步骤 2:第一阶段 —— 事件搜索 + 市场验证(并行执行)
| Step | MCP Tool | Parameters | Retrieved Data | Parallel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1a | | | Related event list | Yes |
| 1b | | | Real-time market snapshot (verify volatility magnitude) | Yes |
Both Tools called in parallel.
| 步骤 | MCP Tool | 参数 | 获取的数据 | 并行 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1a | | | 相关事件列表 | 是 |
| 1b | | | 实时市场快照(验证波动幅度) | 是 |
两个工具并行调用。
Step 3: Decision Branch
步骤 3:决策分支
events response
│
├── Matching event found (event time aligns with volatility onset)
│ └── → Step 4a: Get event details
│
└── No clear event match
└── → Step 4b: Expand news search事件响应
│
├── 找到匹配事件(事件时间与波动起始时间吻合)
│ └── → 步骤 4a:获取事件详情
│
└── 无明确匹配事件
└── → 步骤 4b:扩大新闻搜索范围Step 4a: Event Found → Get Details + On-chain Verification
步骤 4a:找到事件 → 获取详情 + 链上验证
| Step | MCP Tool | Parameters | Retrieved Data | Parallel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2a | | | Event details (cause, impact, timeline) | Yes |
| 2b | | | On-chain anomalies (large transfers, exchange inflows/outflows) | Yes |
| 步骤 | MCP Tool | 参数 | 获取的数据 | 并行 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2a | | | 事件详情(原因、影响、时间线) | 是 |
| 2b | | | 链上异常(大额转账、交易所充提) | 是 |
Step 4b: No Event Found → Expand Search
步骤 4b:未找到事件 → 扩大搜索范围
| Step | MCP Tool | Parameters | Retrieved Data | Parallel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2c | | | Latest related news (sorted by time) | Yes |
| 2d | | | On-chain anomalies | Yes |
| 步骤 | MCP Tool | 参数 | 获取的数据 | 并行 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2c | | | 最新相关新闻(按时间排序) | 是 |
| 2d | | | 链上异常 | 是 |
Step 5: LLM Attribution Reasoning
步骤 5:LLM归因推理
The LLM must complete the following reasoning chain:
- Confirm the volatility: Based on the market snapshot, confirm the timing, magnitude, and volume change
- Identify the trigger event: From events/news, find the event with the closest time alignment
- Verify causality: Did the event precede the price move? Is there corresponding on-chain activity?
- Assess the impact chain: Event → Direct impact → Sentiment transmission → Price reaction
- Evaluate follow-on potential: Based on the event's nature, assess whether the impact is short-term or sustained
LLM必须完成如下推理链:
- 确认波动情况:基于市场快照,确认波动的时间、幅度和成交量变化
- 识别触发事件:从事件/新闻中找到与波动时间最吻合的事件
- 验证因果关系:事件是否发生在价格变动之前?是否有对应的链上活动佐证?
- 评估影响链:事件 → 直接影响 → 情绪传导 → 价格反应
- 评估后续潜力:基于事件性质,评估影响是短期还是持续性的
Step 6: Output Structured Report
步骤 6:输出结构化报告
Report Template
报告模板
markdown
undefinedmarkdown
undefined{coin} {Pump/Dump} Attribution Analysis
{coin} {Pump/Dump}归因分析
Analysis time: {timestamp}
分析时间:{timestamp}
1. Volatility Summary
1. 波动概况
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | ${price} |
| Move Magnitude | {change}% (within {timeframe}) |
| High | ${high} ({time}) |
| Low | ${low} ({time}) |
| Volume Change | {volume_change}% (vs 24h average) |
| Futures Liquidations | ${liquidation} (if available) |
| 指标 | 数值 |
|---|---|
| 当前价格 | ${price} |
| 变动幅度 | {change}%({timeframe}内) |
| 最高价 | ${high}({time}) |
| 最低价 | ${low}({time}) |
| 成交量变化 | {volume_change}%(对比24h均值) |
| 期货清算额 | ${liquidation}(如有) |
2. Core Triggering Event
2. 核心触发事件
🔴 {event_title}
- Event Time: {event_time}
- Event Type: {Regulation / Project Development / Market Manipulation / Macro Economic / Technical Failure / Whale Activity}
- Details: {2-3 sentence description}
- Source: {source}
🔴 {event_title}
- 事件时间:{event_time}
- 事件类型:{监管 / 项目进展 / 市场操纵 / 宏观经济 / 技术故障 / 巨鲸活动}
- 详情:{2-3句话描述}
- 来源:{source}
3. Event → Impact Chain
3. 事件 → 影响链
{event}
│
├── Direct Impact: {description}
│ e.g., SEC lawsuit → Regulatory uncertainty for the token increases
│
├── Sentiment Transmission: {description}
│ e.g., Panic spreads → Fear & Greed Index drops from 65 to 35
│
└── Price Reaction: {description}
e.g., {coin} dropped from ${high} to ${low} within 2 hours of the event{event}
│
├── 直接影响:{description}
│ 例如:SEC诉讼 → 代币监管不确定性上升
│
├── 情绪传导:{description}
│ 例如:恐慌蔓延 → 恐惧&贪婪指数从65跌至35
│
└── 价格反应:{description}
例如:事件发生后2小时内,{coin}从${high}跌至${low}4. On-chain Verification
4. 链上验证
{If on-chain data is available:}
| On-chain Metric | Anomaly |
|---|---|
| Exchange Inflows | {increase/decrease}, {description} |
| Large Transfers | {count} transfers exceeding ${threshold} |
| Whale Activity | {description} |
| Futures Funding Rate | {change description} |
{Does the on-chain data corroborate the event narrative?}
{如果链上数据可用:}
| 链上指标 | 异常情况 |
|---|---|
| 交易所流入量 | {上升/下降},{description} |
| 大额转账 | {count}笔超过${threshold}的转账 |
| 巨鲸活动 | {description} |
| 期货资金费率 | {change description} |
{链上数据是否佐证了事件逻辑?}
5. Ripple Effects
5. 连锁反应
{Did this event affect other coins/sectors?}
- {Related coin 1}: {impact description}
- {Related coin 2}: {impact description}
- Sector impact: {e.g., L1 sector declined broadly, DeFi sector affected}
{该事件是否影响了其他币种/板块?}
- {相关币种1}:{impact description}
- {相关币种2}:{impact description}
- 板块影响:{例如:L1板块普遍下跌,DeFi板块受影响}
6. Forward Outlook
6. 前景展望
{Based on the event's nature, assess the follow-on impact:}
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Impact Duration | {One-time shock / Short-term (1-3 days) / Medium-term (1-2 weeks) / Long-term} |
| What to Watch Next | {Items to monitor: court ruling, policy details, project response, etc.} |
| Historical Precedent | {Similar past events and their outcomes, if any} |
{基于事件性质,评估后续影响:}
| 维度 | 评估 |
|---|---|
| 影响时长 | {一次性冲击 / 短期(1-3天) / 中期(1-2周) / 长期} |
| 后续关注重点 | {需要监测的项:法院判决、政策细节、项目回应等} |
| 历史先例 | {过往类似事件及其结果,如有} |
⚠️ Important Notes
⚠️ 重要说明
- Market moves may be caused by multiple overlapping factors; the above analysis is based on currently available information
- Long-term impact of the event remains uncertain
The above analysis is based on public information and on-chain data. It does not constitute investment advice.
undefined- 市场变动可能由多个叠加因素导致,以上分析基于当前可获取的信息
- 事件的长期影响仍存在不确定性
以上分析基于公开信息和链上数据,不构成投资建议。
undefinedTemplate When No Event Can Be Identified
无法识别事件时的模板
markdown
undefinedmarkdown
undefined{coin} Volatility Analysis
{coin}波动分析
Analysis time: {timestamp}
分析时间:{timestamp}
Volatility Summary
波动概况
{Same as above}
{与上文一致}
Possible Cause Analysis
可能原因分析
⚠️ No single clear triggering event was identified. The following is a composite analysis:
Possible Factor 1: {description}
- Evidence: {related news/data}
- Likelihood: {High/Medium/Low}
Possible Factor 2: {description}
- Evidence: ...
- Likelihood: ...
On-chain Clues
{Any anomalous on-chain data that could help explain the move?}
⚠️ 未找到单一明确的触发事件,以下为综合分析:
可能因素1:{description}
- 证据:{相关新闻/数据}
- 可能性:{高/中/低}
可能因素2:{description}
- 证据:...
- 可能性:...
链上线索
{是否有可解释变动的异常链上数据?}
Composite Assessment
综合评估
{LLM's composite analysis, with uncertainty explicitly acknowledged}
Note: No single clear triggering event was found for this move. The above analysis is an informed assessment based on available data.
---{LLM的综合分析,明确说明存在不确定性}
注意:本次变动未找到单一明确触发事件,以上分析是基于现有数据的合理评估。
---Reasoning Logic
推理逻辑
Event Matching Logic
事件匹配逻辑
| Condition | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Event time < price move start time | ✅ Temporally plausible as a trigger |
| Event time > price move start time | ❌ Unlikely to be the trigger (may be follow-up reporting) |
| Event impact rating = "High" | Weight +2 |
| Event involves the queried coin | Weight +3 |
| Event type = "Regulation/Policy" | Typically causes larger moves |
| Multiple events simultaneously | Composite analysis — likely multi-factor |
| 条件 | 评估 |
|---|---|
| 事件时间 < 价格变动起始时间 | ✅ 时间上符合触发条件 |
| 事件时间 > 价格变动起始时间 | ❌ 不太可能是触发因素(可能是后续报道) |
| 事件影响等级 = "High" | 权重 +2 |
| 事件涉及查询的币种 | 权重 +3 |
| 事件类型 = "监管/政策" | 通常会导致更大幅度变动 |
| 多个事件同时发生 | 综合分析——可能为多因素驱动 |
Volatility Magnitude Assessment
波动幅度评估
| Magnitude | Label |
|---|---|
| < 3% | Normal volatility — may not require a specific event explanation |
| 3% – 10% | Moderate volatility — look for recent news/events |
| 10% – 20% | Large volatility — typically has a clear event driver |
| > 20% | Extreme volatility — major event or black swan almost certain |
| 幅度 | 标签 |
|---|---|
| < 3% | 正常波动——可能不需要特定事件解释 |
| 3% – 10% | 中等波动——查找近期新闻/事件 |
| 10% – 20% | 大幅波动——通常有明确的事件驱动 |
| > 20% | 极端波动——几乎可以确定是重大事件或黑天鹅导致 |
On-chain Anomaly Assessment
链上异常评估
| Condition | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Exchange inflows surge > 3x average | "Large token inflows to exchanges — potential selling pressure" |
| Exchange outflows surge > 3x average | "Large token outflows from exchanges — possible accumulation" |
| Large transfer count > 5x average | "Abnormally active large transfers" |
| Futures liquidations > $100M | "Massive futures liquidation cascade — amplified price volatility" |
| 条件 | 评估 |
|---|---|
| 交易所流入量激增 > 3倍均值 | "大量代币流入交易所——潜在抛压" |
| 交易所流出量激增 > 3倍均值 | "大量代币流出交易所——可能为吸筹" |
| 大额转账数量 > 5倍均值 | "大额转账异常活跃" |
| 期货清算额 > $100M | "大规模期货清算踩踏——放大价格波动" |
Error Handling
错误处理
| Error Type | Handling |
|---|---|
| Proceed to Step 4b — expand news search |
| Generate report based on event list summaries only |
| Skip on-chain verification section; note "On-chain data temporarily unavailable" |
| Cannot confirm volatility magnitude; degrade to showing event info only |
| Both news and events return no results | Honestly inform the user "No clear cause has been identified at this time"; suggest monitoring for updates |
| All Tools fail | Return error message; suggest the user try again later |
| 错误类型 | 处理方式 |
|---|---|
| 进入步骤4b——扩大新闻搜索范围 |
| 仅基于事件列表摘要生成报告 |
| 跳过链上验证部分,标注「链上数据暂时不可用」 |
| 无法确认波动幅度,降级为仅展示事件信息 |
| 新闻和事件均无返回结果 | 如实告知用户「目前未找到明确原因」,建议关注后续更新 |
| 所有工具调用失败 | 返回错误信息,建议用户稍后重试 |
Cross-Skill Routing
跨Skill路由
| User Follow-up Intent | Route To |
|---|---|
| "Analyze BTC for me" | |
| "Give me a technical analysis" | |
| "How's the overall market?" | |
| "Recent news?" | |
| "Any on-chain anomalies?" | |
| "Track this address" | |
| 用户后续意图 | 路由到 |
|---|---|
| "Analyze BTC for me" | |
| "Give me a technical analysis" | |
| "How's the overall market?" | |
| "Recent news?" | |
| "Any on-chain anomalies?" | |
| "Track this address" | |
Safety Rules
安全规则
- No definitive causal claims: Use language like "likely caused by", "the most closely related event is" — avoid absolute causal assertions
- No follow-on predictions: Do not output "it will continue to rise/fall" style predictions
- No investment advice: Do not give buy/sell recommendations based on event analysis
- Acknowledge uncertainty: When the causal link between event and move is uncertain, explicitly state it
- Source attribution: Events and news must cite their sources
- Flag missing data: When on-chain data or event details are unavailable, explicitly state it
- Avoid amplifying panic: When describing crashes or black-swan events, maintain objective, neutral language — no sensationalist rhetoric
- 不做绝对因果声明:使用「可能由...导致」、「相关性最高的事件是」这类表述,避免绝对的因果断言
- 不做后续走势预测:不输出「会继续涨/跌」这类预测内容
- 不提供投资建议:不基于事件分析给出买入/卖出推荐
- 承认不确定性:当事件与变动之间的因果关系不明确时,明确说明
- 来源标注:事件和新闻必须注明来源
- 标注缺失数据:当链上数据或事件详情不可用时,明确说明
- 避免放大恐慌:描述暴跌或黑天鹅事件时,保持客观中立的语言,不使用耸人听闻的表述