market-landscape-scan

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Translation

Chinese

Market Landscape Scan

市场格局扫描

Purpose

目的

Map a market's structure using a workflow, not a one-shot answer: search plan → segmentation → player mapping → dynamics → whitespace → next-step options. The output is the landscape view that everything downstream stands on — sizing needs to know the segments, positioning needs to know the players, and competitor deep-dives need to know who's worth the effort. This skill maps structure, not magnitude: it tells you who plays where and why, not how big the prize is.
通过工作流而非一次性答案来绘制市场结构:搜索计划 → 市场细分 → 参与者图谱绘制 → 动态分析 → 空白领域识别 → 下一步选项。输出结果是后续所有工作的基础格局视图——市场规模测算需要了解细分领域,产品定位需要了解参与者,竞品深度调研需要明确值得投入的对象。本技能聚焦于绘制结构而非规模:它会告诉你参与者在何处布局及原因,而非市场规模有多大。

Input

输入

Works best with: the market, segment, or problem space to map — in your words, not an analyst category — and the decision this landscape should support (market entry, new product line, re-positioning, build-vs-buy). Also useful: any boundary narrower than global — geography, buyer size, price band — and players you already know about, so the scan spends its effort on what you don't.
Input supplied inline with the invocation — text after the skill name, a pasted context dump, or an appended
ARGUMENTS:
line — counts as answers already given. Use it against the question budget; don't re-ask.
Arriving empty-handed? That works too. The skill opens with at most 3 questions (market, decision, boundary) and proceeds on labeled assumptions if they go unanswered — that's the
autonomous-investigation
contract.
Example invocation:
Run a market landscape scan on developer-facing API observability tools, EU-only — this supports a Q4 market-entry decision.
最适用场景:需绘制的市场、细分领域或问题空间(用你的表述,而非分析师定义的类别),以及该格局分析需支持的决策(市场进入、新产品线开发、重新定位、自主开发vs外购)。 补充信息:任何窄于全球范围的边界——地域、买家规模、价格区间,以及你已知的参与者,这样扫描就能聚焦于未知信息。
调用时提供的内联内容——技能名称后的文本、粘贴的上下文内容,或附加的
ARGUMENTS:
行——均视为已给出的答案。请利用这些内容,避免重复提问。
没有任何输入?也可以。本技能最多会提出3个问题(市场、决策、边界),若未得到回复,将基于标注的假设继续推进——这便是
autonomous-investigation
协议的内容。
调用示例
针对面向开发者的API可观测性工具开展市场格局扫描,仅限欧盟地区——为Q4市场进入决策提供支持。

Key Concepts

核心概念

  • Governing protocol: this skill honors the
    autonomous-investigation
    contract — question budget of 3, search-plan gate, Fact/Inference/Assumption labels, Just Enough Mode, stable schema, 4-option Final Step.
  • Discipline mix: primarily OSINT (analyst and review coverage, press, communities) with GEOINT/DEMOINT for segment reality-checks and FININT for funding signals — see
    intelligence-collection-disciplines
    .
  • Buyer-view segmentation. Map the market as buyers experience it, not as vendors or analysts carve it — and note where the two disagree. Analyst quadrants are a map someone else drew for their own purposes; the disagreement between vendor categories and buyer reality is often where the opportunity hides.
  • Non-consumption is a competitor. "They use spreadsheets" belongs on the player map. Treating substitutes and non-consumption as competitors is the most commercially useful habit in market analysis — the biggest rival is usually the status quo, and it never shows up in a quadrant.
  • The dead-zone test. Every whitespace claim must survive the question "or is it a dead zone?" Empty space is either opportunity or evidence of no demand; the honest counter-reading is mandatory, not optional.
  • Do-not-invent list (this domain's fabrication risks): companies, products, funding rounds, market share, growth rates, customer claims.
  • 主导协议:本技能遵循
    autonomous-investigation
    协议——最多3个问题的提问额度、搜索计划审核环节、事实/推论/假设标注、适度模式、稳定架构、4选项最终步骤。
  • 学科组合:主要采用OSINT(分析师报道、评论内容、媒体、社区),辅以GEOINT/DEMOINT进行细分市场真实性验证,FININT获取融资信号——详见
    intelligence-collection-disciplines
  • 买家视角的市场细分:从买家的体验出发绘制市场,而非按厂商或分析师的划分方式——同时记录两者的分歧点。分析师象限图是他人出于自身目的绘制的图谱;厂商分类与买家实际需求的分歧之处,往往隐藏着机遇。
  • 非消费行为也是竞品:“他们使用电子表格”应纳入参与者图谱。将替代品和非消费行为视为竞品,是市场分析中最具商业价值的习惯——最大的竞争对手通常是现状,而它永远不会出现在象限图中。
  • 盲区测试:每一个空白领域的论断都必须通过“或者这是一个盲区?”的检验。空白区域要么是机遇,要么是无需求的证明;如实给出反向解读是必须的,而非可选操作。
  • 禁止虚构清单(该领域易造假内容):公司、产品、融资轮次、市场份额、增长率、客户声明。

Application

应用流程

  1. Credit inline context, then ask only the unanswered questions (max 3):
    1. What market or problem space, in your words?
    2. What decision should this landscape support?
    3. Any boundary — geography, buyer size, price band? If unanswered, proceed with labeled assumptions.
  2. Show the 3-bullet search plan — what you'll search, source types (analyst and review sites, company and pricing pages, funding databases, industry press, trade bodies, practitioner communities), and how facts will be separated from inference. Continue unless revised.
  3. Research in Just Enough Mode and emit the schema below exactly — it is the stable base that quarterly re-scans diff against.
  1. 认可内联上下文,仅提出未解答的问题(最多3个):
    1. 你所指的市场或问题空间是什么?
    2. 该格局分析需支持哪项决策?
    3. 是否有任何边界限制——地域、买家规模、价格区间? 若未得到回复,将基于标注的假设继续推进。
  2. 展示3条要点的搜索计划——搜索内容、来源类型(分析师及评论网站、公司及定价页面、融资数据库、行业媒体、行业协会、从业者社区),以及区分事实与推论的方法。除非被修改,否则将按此计划执行。
  3. 以适度模式开展调研,并严格输出以下架构——这是季度重扫时进行对比的稳定基础。

Output schema (do not reorder)

输出架构(请勿调整顺序)

markdown
undefined
markdown
undefined

Market Landscape Snapshot

市场格局快照

1. Scope

1. 范围

Market / problem space: | Boundary: | Decision supported: | As-of date:
市场/问题空间: | 边界: | 支持的决策: | 截至日期:

2. How This Market Segments

2. 市场细分方式

  • [3-5 segments as buyers experience them, each 1 bullet]
  • [Where vendor categories disagree with buyer reality: 1 bullet]
  • [3-5个从买家体验出发的细分领域,每个领域1条要点]
  • [厂商分类与买家实际需求的分歧点:1条要点]

3. Player Map

3. 参与者图谱

Direct players

直接参与者

  • [Name]: [who they serve; wedge; 1 momentum signal; URL]
  • [名称]: [服务对象;核心优势;1个发展态势信号;网址]

Adjacent players (could enter)

潜在进入的相邻参与者

  • [Name]: [why adjacency matters; URL]
  • [名称]: [相邻性的重要性;网址]

Substitutes and non-consumption

替代品与非消费行为

  • [What buyers do instead]: [why it persists]
  • [买家的替代选择]: [该选择持续存在的原因]

Emerging entrants

新兴进入者

  • [Name]: [what bet they're making; funding/traction signal; URL]
Cap the full map at 12 players; strongest signal only.
  • [名称]: [核心战略;融资/用户增长信号;网址]
参与者图谱最多包含12个主体,仅保留最具价值的信号。

4. Dynamics

4. 市场动态

  • Where the money is: [2 bullets, labeled]
  • Where the momentum is: [2 bullets, labeled]
  • Consolidation or fragmentation: [1 bullet]
  • Technology or regulatory shifts in play: [1-2 bullets]
  • 资金流向: [2条要点,标注来源]
  • 发展态势: [2条要点,标注来源]
  • 整合或碎片化趋势: [1条要点]
  • 技术或监管变化: [1-2条要点]

5. Whitespace and Dead Zones

5. 空白领域与盲区

  • [Apparent gap]: opportunity or dead zone? [evidence either way]
  • [2-3 of these, each with the honest counter-reading]
  • [表面上的空白]: 是机遇还是盲区?[正反两方证据]
  • [2-3条此类内容,每条均包含如实的反向解读]

6. So What?

6. 关键启示

  • 3 implications for the decision named in Scope
  • 2 players to deep-dive next
  • 3 assumptions to validate Each bullet: label, confidence, URL where relevant.

A copy/paste fill-in version of this schema, with quality checks, lives in [`template.md`](template.md).
  • 3条针对范围中提及决策的启示
  • 2个需深度调研的参与者
  • 3个需验证的假设 每条要点:标注类型、可信度、相关网址。

包含质量检查的该架构填充版可在[`template.md`](template.md)中获取。

Final Step (offer exactly 4 options)

最终步骤(提供恰好4个选项)

  1. Run
    competitive-research-snapshot
    on the deep-dive players
  2. Run
    tam-sam-som-calculator
    sizing on the most promising segment
  3. Draft a positioning hypothesis against this landscape (
    positioning-statement
    )
  4. Schedule-ready version: what should a quarterly re-scan watch?
Accept
1
,
2
,
3
,
4
,
1 and 2
,
Verbose Mode
, or a custom path.
  1. 对需深度调研的参与者运行
    competitive-research-snapshot
  2. 对最具潜力的细分领域运行
    tam-sam-som-calculator
    进行规模测算
  3. 基于该格局起草定位假设(
    positioning-statement
  4. 可用于季度重扫的版本:季度重扫需关注哪些内容?
接受
1
2
3
4
1 and 2
Verbose Mode
或自定义路径。

Examples

示例

Segmentation catching a vendor/buyer disagreement (all names fictional):
Vendors in this space market three categories: "observability platforms," "APM," and "log management." Buyers in practitioner forums segment differently — Fact (community thread, Jun 2026): by who gets paged (dev-owned vs. ops-owned) and by cost model tolerance (per-seat vs. per-GB). Two "different" vendor categories compete head-to-head for dev-owned/per-seat buyers — Inference (same buyers evaluating both in review-site comparisons). The category language is marketing architecture, not market structure.
A whitespace claim surviving the dead-zone test:
Apparent gap: nobody serves sub-50-employee agencies at self-serve pricing. Opportunity or dead zone? Two prior entrants targeted exactly this and pivoted upmarket within 18 months — Fact (funding announcements, URLs). Their stated reason was willingness-to-pay, not demand — Inference (founder postmortem cites CAC/LTV, not lack of interest). Verdict: conditional whitespace — viable only with a radically cheaper acquisition motion. Assumption to validate: the segment's tooling budget clears $50/month.
See
examples/sample.md
for a complete worked scan (fictional FSM-software market) whose output feeds the
competitive-research-snapshot
example — the chain's schemas demonstrated end to end.
examples/sample-industrial.md
runs the same schema in a fictional industrial market, where the substitutes and freshest signals change completely.
捕捉厂商与买家分歧的市场细分(所有名称均为虚构):
该领域的厂商将产品分为三类:“可观测性平台”、“APM”和“日志管理”。但从业者论坛中的买家有不同的细分方式——事实社区帖子,2026年6月):按谁负责响应告警(开发者主导vs运维主导)和成本模型接受度(按席位收费vs按GB收费)划分。两个“不同”的厂商类别在争夺开发者主导/按席位收费的买家时直接竞争——推论(同一买家在评论网站中同时对比这两类产品)。厂商的分类语言是营销架构,而非实际的市场结构。
通过盲区测试的空白领域论断:
表面上的空白: 没有厂商以自助定价服务员工规模不足50人的代理商。这是机遇还是盲区?此前有两家厂商精准瞄准该领域,但在18个月内转向了高端市场——事实融资公告,网址)。他们公开的原因是支付意愿不足,而非需求缺失——推论(创始人复盘提及CAC/LTV,而非缺乏兴趣)。结论:有条件的空白领域——只有采用极低成本获客策略才具备可行性。需验证的假设: 该细分领域的工具预算超过每月50美元。
完整的扫描示例(虚构的FSM软件市场)可在
examples/sample.md
中查看,其输出结果为
competitive-research-snapshot
示例提供了输入——完整展示了工作流架构。
examples/sample-industrial.md
则在虚构的工业市场中应用了相同架构,其中替代品和最新信号完全不同。

Common Pitfalls

常见误区

  • Adopting the analyst map. Reciting a quadrant is not a landscape scan — quadrants exclude substitutes, lag emerging entrants, and segment by what's convenient to rank. Use them as one OSINT source, labeled, never as the frame.
  • Omitting non-consumption. A player map without "what buyers do instead" flatters every vendor on it and hides the real competitor: inertia.
  • Whitespace romanticism. Declaring every empty cell an opportunity. If the counter-reading is missing, the analysis is a pitch, not intelligence.
  • Player-map sprawl. Twenty players with two facts each beats nothing, but twelve with the strongest signal each beats it badly. The cap is the discipline.
  • Scope drift between re-scans. Changing the boundary or schema between runs silently breaks comparability — a re-scan of a different scope is a new baseline, and should say so.
  • 照搬分析师图谱:复述象限图并非格局扫描——象限图会排除替代品、滞后于新兴进入者,且按便于排名的方式细分市场。应将其视为OSINT的一个来源,标注清楚,绝不能作为框架。
  • 忽略非消费行为:未包含“买家替代选择”的参与者图谱会夸大所有厂商的价值,并隐藏真正的竞争对手:惯性。
  • 空白领域浪漫化:将所有空白区域都视为机遇。若缺少反向解读,该分析就只是推销话术,而非情报。
  • 参与者图谱过于庞杂:20个各有两条信息的参与者聊胜于无,但12个仅保留最具价值信号的参与者则远胜于此。数量限制是保持专业性的关键。
  • 重扫时范围漂移:两次扫描之间改变边界或架构会悄然破坏可比性——针对不同范围的重扫是新的基线,需明确说明。

References

参考资料

  • autonomous-investigation
    (Workflow) — the governing protocol
  • intelligence-collection-disciplines
    (Component) — discipline sources and signal chains
  • competitive-research-snapshot
    (Workflow) — deep-dive on the players this scan surfaces
  • tam-sam-som-calculator
    (Component) — sizes the segments this scan maps
  • positioning-statement
    (Component) — positions against this landscape
  • Adapted from
    market-intelligence/market-landscape-scan-prompt.md
    in the
    https://github.com/deanpeters/product-manager-prompts
    repo.
  • autonomous-investigation
    (工作流)——主导协议
  • intelligence-collection-disciplines
    (组件)——学科来源与信号链
  • competitive-research-snapshot
    (工作流)——对本扫描识别出的参与者进行深度调研
  • tam-sam-som-calculator
    (组件)——对本扫描绘制的细分领域进行规模测算
  • positioning-statement
    (组件)——基于该格局进行定位
  • 改编自
    https://github.com/deanpeters/product-manager-prompts
    仓库中的
    market-intelligence/market-landscape-scan-prompt.md