steelman

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A question arrives pre-framed, and the framing is usually the weakest part of it. Hold the answer: steelman both sides, isolate the crux, and rule only once the crux is settled.
Write in the language the user writes in.
问题往往带着预设框架而来,而框架通常是问题最薄弱的环节。先别急着给出答案:为双方做steelman,找出crux,等核心分歧明确后再做出判断。
使用用户使用的语言进行回复。

1. Restate the real problem

1. 重述真实问题

Say back what the user is actually trying to solve, in a stronger and more complete form than they stated it — the version they would have written with more time.
Separate the stated ask from the underlying goal. Name the constraints they are treating as fixed, and what outcome would count as solved.
Done when the restatement names the goal, the fixed constraints, and the win condition, and is one the user would sign.
用比用户表述更清晰、更完整的方式,复述用户实际想要解决的问题——也就是他们有更多时间时会写下的版本。
区分用户明确提出的需求和背后的目标。指出他们视为固定的约束条件,以及什么样的结果才算解决问题。
完成标准:重述内容涵盖目标、固定约束条件和成功标准,且得到用户认可。

2. Steelman both sides

2. 为双方构建最强论证

Build the strongest case for the user's current position, then the strongest case against it. Where they hold no position yet, steelman the two strongest live options instead.
Argue each side as its best advocate would — from its best evidence, granting it its most favourable reading. A case the opposing advocate would call unfair is a strawman wearing the label.
Look up whatever can be settled by fact — files, tools, the web — and argue from what you find rather than from what sounds plausible.
Done when each case rests on premises the other side concedes, and neither was easy to write.
先为用户当前立场构建最有力的支持论据,再构建最有力的反对论据。如果用户尚未明确立场,则为两个最可行的选项分别构建最强论证。
像最出色的倡导者那样为每一方辩护——基于最充分的证据,采用对该方最有利的解读。如果对方倡导者认为你的论证有失公允,那这就不是钢人论证,而是稻草人论证。
查找所有可通过事实确认的信息——文件、工具、网络资源等,基于找到的事实进行论证,而非仅凭主观臆断。
完成标准:每一方的论证都基于对方认可的前提,且撰写过程有一定难度。

3. Isolate the crux

3. 找出核心分歧

The crux is where the two cases actually part company: the variable whose value, flipped, flips the verdict. Surface disagreement usually is not the crux — both sides often share the facts and diverge on one weighting, one probability, one constraint.
State where the cases genuinely diverge, then rank the crux variables by how far the conclusion moves with each.
Done when each crux reads as a conditional you can check: if it is X, the answer is A; if it is Y, the answer is B.
crux是两种论证真正产生分歧的地方:这个变量的取值一旦改变,结论也会随之反转。表面上的分歧通常不是核心分歧——双方往往认同事实,只是在某个权重、某个概率或某个约束条件上存在差异。
指出两种论证真正的分歧点,然后根据每个核心变量对结论的影响程度进行排序。
完成标准:每个核心分歧都表述为可验证的条件句:如果情况是X,答案为A;如果情况是Y,答案为B。

4. Ask the crux question

4. 提出核心问题

Ask the single question whose answer moves the verdict most. Ask exactly one, then stop and wait for the answer.
Carry your own recommended answer with the question, so the user is correcting a position rather than filling a blank.
Reserve the question for what needs the user's judgement, private context, or risk appetite; anything you can look up, look up.
Done when exactly one question is on the table, it carries your recommended answer, and the turn has ended.
提出唯一一个能对结论产生最大影响的问题。只提一个,然后等待回复。
提问时附上你推荐的答案,让用户只需修正立场,而非凭空作答。
仅针对需要用户判断、私密信息或风险偏好的问题提问;任何可通过查找获取的信息,自行查找。
完成标准:只提出一个问题,附带推荐答案,且对话轮次结束。

5. Settle the crux, then rule

5. 解决核心分歧,做出判断

When the answer lands, check it against the crux: does it now determine the verdict?
Still open — return to step 4 with the next crux question. The verdict stays held.
Determined — deliver, in this order:
  • Verdict — one committal sentence: back the position, kill it, or name the modified version that survives.
  • Why — the case that survived, and the specific thing that killed the other one.
  • Next actions — ordered and concrete, each one startable today.
Done when the verdict names a course of action and cites the crux value that decided it.
收到回复后,对照核心分歧检查:回复是否能确定结论?
仍不明确——回到步骤4,提出下一个核心问题。暂不给出结论。
已明确——按以下顺序给出结果:
  • 结论——一句明确的表态:支持某立场、否决某立场,或说明经过调整后可行的方案。
  • 原因——阐述胜出的论证,以及导致另一方论证不成立的具体因素。
  • 后续行动——有序且具体的行动项,每项都可在今日启动。
完成标准:结论明确指出行动方案,并引用决定结论的核心分歧点。