Loading...
Loading...
Found 2 Skills
Audits decisions for cognitive biases, runs premortems on plans, and reframes choices to reveal hidden assumptions. Use when evaluating decisions under uncertainty, reviewing plans for bias, assessing probability and risk, running premortems, checking for anchoring or availability bias, or analyzing why a judgment might be wrong.
Provides calibrated decision analysis using Charlie Munger-style multiple mental models, inversion, incentive mapping, circle-of-competence checks, misjudgment audits, second-order effects, and forecast updates. Use when the user asks for an oracle take, a hard call, a decision memo, a premortem, an outside view, a red-team, a sanity-check, what am I missing, think this through, or wants a strategy, hire, investment, plan, product, partnership, or major life choice analysed. Avoid for simple factual lookups or time-sensitive legal, medical, or market questions without fresh evidence.