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Found 3 Skills
Venue- and market-type-agnostic strategy, sizing, and backtesting layer for binary prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx). Covers the durable edge thesis, fee-aware selection, fractional-Kelly sizing, and leak-free validation methodology.
Kalshi exchange mechanics — RSA-PSS auth, order schema, YES/NO orderbook convention, WebSocket, and endpoint surface. Market-type-agnostic shared layer for all Kalshi skills.
Applies Steve Blank's Customer Development methodology from The Four Steps to the Epiphany. Use when a startup is searching for customers and a business model before scaling. Covers the four-step process: Customer Discovery (find if anyone wants what you're building), Customer Validation (prove you can sell it repeatably), Customer Creation (drive demand matched to Market Type), and Company Building (transition from learning org to execution org). Triggers include 'we built it but no one's buying', 'should we hire salespeople yet', 'how do we find our first customers', 'we're burning cash and sales aren't scaling', 'are we in a new or existing market', 'when do we scale'. NOT for companies that have already crossed the chasm into mainstream (use Crossing the Chasm instead), not for optimizing an existing sales funnel, not for product development methodology (this is its companion, not replacement).