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Found 133 Skills
Search the FPF knowledge base and display hypothesis details with assurance information
Facilitates the third step of a proven customer-interview method: translating hypotheses into open-ended, unbiased interview questions — each a miniature experiment designed to test one hypothesis without leading the witness. Two modes: given a single hypothesis, it grills the question into shape and outputs the final question in chat; given a HYPOTHESES.md file, it iterates the whole list, grouping related hypotheses, and maintains a QUESTIONS.md file (numbered Q1, Q2, … mapped to H-numbers) as a live, resumable artifact. Load when the user has hypotheses and wants interview questions, asks how to phrase a question for customers without biasing the answer, or says 'turn my hypotheses into questions' or 'help me ask about X without leading.' Do NOT load for writing goal questions or hypotheses (earlier steps), for conducting or analyzing the interviews themselves, for survey/questionnaire design, or for job interviews.
Facilitates the second step of a proven customer-interview method: recording the user's current best guesses — hypotheses — as numbered, falsifiable statements (H1, H2, …), each mapped to the goal questions it addresses, so interviews can confirm or contradict them instead of confirmation bias quietly filtering what's heard. Takes a GOALS.md goal-question list as input (file or pasted), elicits what the user believes goal by goal, sharpens vague beliefs into testable claims, prunes to hypotheses whose resolution would actually change what the user builds, targets, charges, or says, and preserves the result in HYPOTHESES.md. Load when the user has goal questions and wants to write hypotheses, list their assumptions, or record predictions before interviewing customers — 'I have my goals, what's next,' 'help me write down what I believe about my customers.' Do NOT load for writing the interview questions themselves, for analyzing interviews already conducted, or for statistical hypothesis testing.
Disciplined diagnosis loop for hard bugs and performance regressions. Reproduce → minimise → hypothesise → instrument → fix → regression-test. Use when user says "diagnose this" / "debug this", reports a bug, says something is broken/throwing/failing, or describes a performance regression.
Expert SRE investigator for incidents and debugging. Uses hypothesis-driven methodology and systematic triage. Can query Axiom observability when available. Use for incident response, root cause analysis, production debugging, or log investigation.
Structured hypothesis formulation from observations. Use when you have experimental observations or data and need to formulate testable hypotheses with predictions, propose mechanisms, and design experiments to test them. Follows scientific method framework. For open-ended ideation use scientific-brainstorming; for automated LLM-driven hypothesis testing on datasets use hypogenic.
Automated LLM-driven hypothesis generation and testing on tabular datasets. Use when you want to systematically explore hypotheses about patterns in empirical data (e.g., deception detection, content analysis). Combines literature insights with data-driven hypothesis testing. For manual hypothesis formulation use hypothesis-generation; for creative ideation use scientific-brainstorming.
Help a CS or AI PhD student design hypothesis-driven experiments with baselines, variables, metrics, controls, logging, and stop conditions. Use this skill whenever the user is about to run experiments, compare models, plan an ablation, debug inconclusive results, prepare an experiment section, or wants to avoid changing too many things at once.
Guide product managers through a complete discovery cycle—from initial problem hypothesis to validated solution—by orchestrating problem framing, customer interviews, synthesis, and experimentatio
Apply statistical methods to financial data including descriptive statistics, covariance estimation, regression, hypothesis testing, and resampling. Use when the user asks about return distributions, correlation between assets, building a covariance matrix, running a CAPM regression, testing whether alpha is significant, checking if returns are normal, or estimating confidence intervals. Also trigger when users mention 'volatility', 'how correlated are these', 'fat tails', 'skewness', 'R-squared', 'beta of a fund', 'bootstrap a Sharpe ratio', 'shrinkage estimator', 'Ledoit-Wolf', or ask why their optimizer produces unstable weights.
A/B test design and experiment planning for paid advertising. Structured hypothesis framework, statistical significance calculator, test duration estimator, sample size calculator, and platform-specific experiment setup guides (Meta Experiments, Google Experiments, LinkedIn A/B). Use when user says A/B test, split test, experiment design, test hypothesis, statistical significance, sample size, or test duration.
Dynamic, reflective problem-solving through structured sequential thoughts with support for branching, revision, and adaptive depth. Use this skill when: (1) Breaking down complex problems into steps, (2) Planning and design with room for revision, (3) Analysis that might need course correction, (4) Problems where the full scope is not clear initially, (5) Multi-step solutions requiring maintained context, (6) Situations where irrelevant information must be filtered out, (7) Any task benefiting from hypothesis generation, verification, and iterative refinement. Triggers: think through, step by step, break this down, sequential thinking, reason through, analyze step by step, think carefully, or when a problem clearly benefits from structured multi-step reasoning.